NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	1.2 [916]		MVP	Deron Williams (NJN): +14.8%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.0 [151]		LVP	Omer Asik (CHI): -6.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.02	-0.10	26	49%	0.15	2	-0.00	7	86%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.17	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	19	45%	0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Emmett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	13	55%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	31.3	15.8	26.1	2.4	35.6	141.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +35.6%

NJN +8.4%

CHI -8.4%

NJN +12.2%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.5	15.0	15.6	109.0	96.6	102.8
season	16.2	16.0		101.3	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.2		97.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	18.0	17.6	19.0	17.5
CHI	18.2	15.6	15.1	11.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	76	77	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-7	26	17.7	16.5	1.21	15.2	13.6	1.60
Kris Humphries	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-7	26	17.8	14.4	3.33	14.8	18.0	-3.18
MarShon Brooks	77	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-5	22	17.5	17.2	0.28	15.4	12.9	2.50
Shelden Williams	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-4	20	18.5	14.8	3.64	14.6	16.2	-1.67
DeShawn Stevenson	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	6	0	18.2	16.0	2.20	14.1	17.1	-2.94
Johan Petro	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	14	-16	15.0	18.3	-3.31	17.9	14.1	3.77
Jordan Farmar	19	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	10	-8	18.1	17.3	0.71	16.2	14.7	1.49
Anthony Morrow	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	10	-8	15.7	18.2	-2.49	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Andre Emmett	3	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	16	-20	5.0	17.9	-12.93	13.0	15.1	-2.13
Jordan Williams	4	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	18	-24	21.2	17.3	3.93	16.3	15.0	1.35
Sundiata Gaines	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	21	-30	14.1	17.9	-3.76	13.1	15.2	-2.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	40	44	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.28	10	-22	32	15.0	15.0	0.03	17.5	17.5	0.01
Jimmy Butler	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-14	16	21.0	14.4	6.56	14.3	17.8	-3.52
John Lucas III	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-12	12	14.0	15.5	-1.47	19.0	16.9	2.09
Omer Asik	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-16	20	18.2	14.0	4.21	16.7	17.7	-1.08
Taj Gibson	33	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-20	28	14.8	15.1	-0.30	18.1	17.1	0.99
Kyle Korver	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-16	20	14.7	15.3	-0.62	19.3	16.2	3.13
Ronnie Brewer	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	14.2	16.2	-2.06	17.1	18.0	-0.90
CJ Watson	50	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	7	-26	15.5	14.5	0.99	16.9	18.2	-1.39
Joakim Noah	40	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	10	-32	14.8	15.2	-0.48	17.5	17.5	0.01
Carlos Boozer	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	3	-18	14.9	15.5	-0.58	16.9	19.4	-2.54
Luol Deng	65	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	8	-28	14.6	16.2	-1.60	17.7	17.1	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 113, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 123, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
OKC 148, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%