NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	3.9 [822]		MVP	Jason Richardson (ORL): +14.2%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.2 [922]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -13.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	12	71%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Semih Erden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.07	8	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	19	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Mychel Thompson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	0.04	21	39%	-0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	12	70%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	12	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	65%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	12	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	16	56%	-0.03
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	29.4	16.7	25.2	2.4	37.4	137.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +46.0%

ORL +5.2%

CLE -12.0%

ORL +11.3%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.6	100.0	110.9	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		99.5	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	15.3	15.0	13.1	14.8
ORL	16.2	16.7	16.3	15.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	55	54	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.44	16	-24	40	13.0	17.2	-4.19	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Samardo Samuels	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	11.9	15.3	-3.46	15.9	16.3	-0.33
Luke Harangody	16	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-9	10	14.1	14.9	-0.86	16.9	16.1	0.87
Semih Erden	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-12	16	13.0	15.5	-2.49	16.2	16.2	0.03
Alonzo Gee	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-10	12	13.9	16.5	-2.57	15.7	17.2	-1.44
Omri Casspi	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	2	-12	16.5	13.9	2.57	17.2	15.7	1.44
Antawn Jamison	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	15.8	12.6	3.20	16.2	16.2	-0.06
Mychel Thompson	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	8	-24	16.2	12.7	3.52	16.6	15.7	0.93
Anderson Varejao	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	5	-18	15.3	13.4	1.92	16.1	16.4	-0.34
Kyrie Irving	78	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.17	-16	8	-24	15.0	13.8	1.16	16.1	16.5	-0.36

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	67	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-6	20	16.3	16.0	0.28	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Jason Richardson	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-11	30	15.8	16.7	-0.92	16.3	12.9	3.43
Hedo Turkoglu	61	60	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	16.1	16.4	-0.22	15.4	13.6	1.82
Chris Duhon	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-5	18	16.1	16.4	-0.25	15.1	14.0	1.11
Dwight Howard	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-1	10	16.3	15.9	0.39	15.7	12.0	3.68
Ish Smith	18	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	16.4	16.2	0.23	12.2	15.5	-3.27
Von Wafer	31	34	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	16.4	16.1	0.22	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Earl Clark	46	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	15	-22	16.0	16.5	-0.50	14.4	15.2	-0.83
JJ Redick	45	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.34	-14	22	-36	16.7	15.7	0.94	13.8	15.7	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 109, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
BOS 73, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
POR 74, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%