NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	10.8 [37]		MVP	Deron Williams (NJN): +69.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	5.8 [117]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -27.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.69	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.69	0.04	0.65	-0.01	28	57%	0.90	5	-0.20	4	75%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28	0.06	0.24	0.03	11	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Owens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	13	39%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.01,-0.07,-0.27,-0.27	-0.06	-0.22	-0.00	11	55%	0.00	5	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.3	0.30	-0.01	0.31	-0.00	13	50%	0.36	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	10	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	15	50%	0.25	2	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.00	4	75%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	10	32%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	12	43%	-0.14	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	2.7	27.0	15.6	25.9	1.7	36.2	2.7	18.4	153.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +72.9%

PHI -4.4%

NJN +4.8%

PHI -28.3%

NJN +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	17.8	16.1	15.6	104.3	94.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		101.3	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.2		97.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	17.1	19.0	18.4	19.5	11.5	17.8
PHI	15.6	15.2	17.6	15.7	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	54	62	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.37	17	-10	27	17.8	17.6	0.19	16.0	16.3	-0.37
Jordan Farmar	47	54	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	2	3	18.8	16.7	2.13	16.5	15.6	0.85
Deron Williams	84	86	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-5	17	17.6	19.3	-1.75	16.6	11.7	4.89
Anthony Morrow	72	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-1	9	17.2	19.5	-2.29	16.6	14.5	2.08
Kris Humphries	81	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	2	3	17.3	20.7	-3.35	16.4	13.7	2.68
Shawne Williams	19	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	7	-7	19.0	17.4	1.57	14.2	16.5	-2.31
DeShawn Stevenson	52	49	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	6	-5	17.6	17.9	-0.27	16.4	15.7	0.73
Larry Owens	16	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.23	0	7	-7	13.1	18.7	-5.59	13.2	16.6	-3.41
Shelden Williams	40	36	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.02	-13	20	-33	20.0	16.1	3.90	14.4	17.1	-2.66

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	58	60	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-13	19	15.3	17.3	-2.01	17.5	18.3	-0.81
Lavoy Allen	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	15.1	16.6	-1.48	19.4	17.0	2.40
Thaddeus Young	50	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.33	7	-14	21	15.5	16.8	-1.26	18.6	16.9	1.62
Tony Battie	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	17.0	15.8	1.24	18.7	17.5	1.28
Elton Brand	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-1	-5	17.4	14.8	2.55	18.2	17.2	1.00
Jodie Meeks	66	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-5	3	15.4	17.8	-2.39	17.5	18.4	-0.97
Evan Turner	43	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	16.4	15.9	0.51	17.3	18.1	-0.75
Jrue Holiday	74	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	4	-15	16.1	16.1	-0.06	17.8	17.4	0.42
Andre Iguodala	72	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	3	-13	16.8	13.7	3.11	17.4	18.7	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.69,0.27,0.54,0.53,0.37,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.46,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.27,0	89.3%
BOS 110, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.32,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.31,0.08,0	88.2%
DAL 114, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,0	87.9%