NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	4.3 [761]		MVP	Raymond Felton (POR): +9.5%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.2 [886]		LVP	Gary Forbes (TOR): -10.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	78%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	9	40%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	10	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	25	52%	0.09	6	-0.13	14	64%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	21	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
James Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.02	0.10	17	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	16	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.6	27.4	15.5	30.3	2.6	41.5	141.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.8%

TOR -4.1%

POR +11.5%

TOR -5.6%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	15.6	96.9	86.6	102.8
season	15.7	16.5		104.1	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.8	16.0	16.7	14.6	16.0
TOR	13.2	16.7	14.0	11.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	3	4	15.9	16.0	-0.05	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	72	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	7	-4	16.2	15.4	0.81	13.8	13.6	0.19
Marcus Camby	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	16.9	14.8	2.14	14.9	12.4	2.50
Raymond Felton	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	4	2	16.4	14.9	1.43	14.1	12.9	1.13
Gerald Wallace	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	4	2	16.5	14.7	1.79	14.4	12.2	2.21
Nicolas Batum	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	8	-6	14.7	17.1	-2.44	12.3	15.0	-2.72
Jamal Crawford	39	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	3	4	14.6	16.9	-2.29	12.9	14.4	-1.48
Kurt Thomas	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	8	-6	15.7	16.1	-0.42	13.9	13.7	0.17
Craig Smith	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	5	0	16.0	15.9	0.05	13.0	13.9	-0.91
Nolan Smith	16	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	6	-2	15.2	16.1	-0.85	12.5	14.0	-1.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	9	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-16	22	11.4	14.0	-2.52	16.2	15.9	0.32
Linas Kleiza	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-10	10	16.0	13.5	2.53	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Gary Forbes	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-6	2	13.8	13.7	0.07	15.5	16.1	-0.59
James Johnson	62	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-12	14	13.1	14.9	-1.76	16.9	14.3	2.53
Amir Johnson	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-9	8	12.7	14.9	-2.25	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Rasual Butler	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.9	13.3	1.63	14.8	16.4	-1.57
DeMar DeRozan	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-7	4	13.9	13.3	0.60	15.9	16.0	-0.06
Aaron Gray	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.9	12.7	2.25	16.2	15.7	0.45
Leandro Barbosa	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	12.5	15.6	-3.11	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Ed Davis	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	4	-18	14.1	13.1	1.04	16.2	15.6	0.61
Jose Calderon	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	2	-14	14.3	12.1	2.21	16.1	15.6	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 121, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHI 120, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DET 93, PHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%