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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 95 Excitement7.7 [248] MVPRichard Jefferson (SAS): +21.7%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback6.7 [281] LVPTiago Splitter (SAS): -10.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.12-0.000.011180%0.172-0.063100%0.02
Monta Ellis0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.090.12-0.030.003059%0.263-0.174100%0.03
Andris Biedrins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.001100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dominic McGuire0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0100.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0,0,00.03-0.02-0.001050%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Jenkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David Lee-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021343%0.032-0.07475%0.01
Brandon Rush-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09-0.05-0.050.00640%-0.071-0.02825%-0.20

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.220.220.150.070.01894%0.251-0.042100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,0.090.09-0.010.120.031651%0.243-0.15978%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.02968%0.091-0.02475%-0.01
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.060.060.020.04-0.00480%0.162-0.09250%-0.02
DeJuan Blair0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.01955%0.0600.004100%0.02
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.00590%0.153-0.1000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.04-0.00437%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00240%0.0100.0010%-0.01
James Anderson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00642%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00939%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.01614%-0.091-0.0220%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.826.014.827.22.430.6126.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.6%
SAS +12.7%
SAS +10.7%
GSW -9.6%
GSW -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game14.715.715.6101.1106.3102.8
season15.215.3103.6109.1
opponent15.215.4101.5106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.114.515.016.214.7
SAS18.714.916.313.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Jenkins550.09-0.590.690.032-81014.414.7-0.3415.215.8-0.58
Ekpe Udoh23230.07-0.570.630.012-81014.614.8-0.2116.015.70.28
Ish Smith110.02-0.520.540.020-660.014.9-14.889.015.8-6.82
Stephen Curry59590.01-0.510.53-0.052-81014.415.3-0.9416.913.83.17
Andris Biedrins2627-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-6613.015.4-2.3318.314.73.56
Kwame Brown4141-0.04-0.460.41-0.164-101414.714.7-0.0314.816.5-1.70
Dominic McGuire2223-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-3013.215.2-2.0115.815.70.10
Brandon Rush3333-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.11-60-615.914.11.7814.816.3-1.52
Monta Ellis8687-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-6614.814.40.3815.716.1-0.41
Dorell Wright5251-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.27-71-815.114.20.8816.015.40.59
Klay Thompson4850-0.640.14-0.78-0.32-115-1615.613.81.7114.617.1-2.51
David Lee7475-0.720.22-0.93-0.33-137-2015.013.81.1115.516.5-1.02

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Jefferson76740.91-0.411.310.2921-153615.616.5-0.9714.814.30.54
T.J. Ford40390.80-0.301.090.3316-102613.917.1-3.1915.714.01.66
Tim Duncan62610.72-0.220.940.488-21015.815.60.2614.415.4-0.99
Danny Green32310.62-0.120.750.3310-41413.516.9-3.3916.014.11.90
Tony Parker69680.470.030.430.4706-615.815.50.3414.216.2-1.98
James Anderson38380.060.44-0.38-0.0333016.215.40.8215.114.50.55
DeJuan Blair50480.030.47-0.43-0.0224-215.715.8-0.0614.515.0-0.50
Kawhi Leonard16160.000.50-0.500.03-17-816.715.61.1314.214.8-0.65
Matt Bonner3133-0.140.64-0.78-0.1406-615.915.70.1814.814.70.10
Tiago Splitter3030-0.350.85-1.19-0.11-814-2218.114.73.3915.214.50.65
Gary Neal3132-0.621.12-1.74-0.00-2127-4817.115.12.0513.615.3-1.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.95,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 93, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.91,191.2%
MIL 81, CLE 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,191.2%
NJN 87, SEA 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.85,0.94,1,190.6%