NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	3.1 [944]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +8.8%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.0 [977]		LVP	Ben Gordon (DET): -11.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	43%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.01	0.11	11	63%	-0.03	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	-0.01	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	-0.06	8	60%	0.09	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	59%	0.04	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	11	36%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	18	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	28.2	16.4	29.9	1.0	27.0	132.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.5%

IND +4.2%

IND +13.7%

IND +12.0%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.6	88.8	101.1	102.8
season	16.3	15.7		99.5	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.9	16.0	15.9	17.8	16.0
IND	13.3	16.8	16.1	19.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-9	6	15.8	16.1	-0.29	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Austin Daye	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-7	2	15.9	16.1	-0.22	14.1	17.1	-2.94
Jason Maxiell	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-7	2	14.7	16.9	-2.21	14.4	17.2	-2.72
Greg Monroe	36	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-10	8	17.2	15.3	1.93	17.4	15.2	2.23
Rodney Stuckey	59	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-12	12	16.7	14.8	1.83	17.0	14.4	2.65
Ben Wallace	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-1	-10	15.7	16.3	-0.54	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Brandon Knight	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-2	-8	16.1	16.0	0.12	14.6	17.0	-2.44
Tayshaun Prince	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-5	-2	16.1	15.9	0.22	17.1	14.1	2.94
Ben Gordon	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	15.5	17.3	-1.84	16.3	15.7	0.61
Jonas Jerebko	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-6	0	16.3	15.2	1.13	16.4	15.3	1.07

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-4	20	15.6	17.5	-1.92	16.5	14.8	1.66
Roy Hibbert	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	15.5	17.6	-2.03	16.0	16.0	0.01
Paul George	52	54	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-2	16	16.1	16.2	-0.18	16.4	15.5	0.97
Darren Collison	69	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	1	10	16.4	15.3	1.11	16.0	16.2	-0.18
David West	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-2	16	16.1	16.3	-0.24	16.3	15.6	0.62
Tyler Hansbrough	58	58	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	17	-22	16.9	14.8	2.10	15.8	16.5	-0.62
Lance Stephenson	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	11	-10	14.5	16.4	-1.81	18.2	15.7	2.44
George Hill	48	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	14	-16	16.2	16.0	0.16	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Dahntay Jones	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	16	-20	17.5	15.6	1.92	14.8	16.5	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 65, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 66, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 73, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%