NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	9.5 [74]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): +17.3%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	5.2 [143]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -30.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.17	-0.06	0.20	-0.03	17	49%	0.27	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	8	87%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	78%	0.15	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	41%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Donte Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	9	26%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.09	-0.21	0.01	10	58%	0.06	7	-0.36	6	83%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	22	52%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	22	41%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04,0.11,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	0.16	-0.25	0.05	17	75%	0.13	3	-0.27	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	2	17%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	2.7	24.4	15.6	24.3	2.5	32.9	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.3%

SAC +24.8%

SAC +18.6%

GSW -45.2%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.8	15.5	105.1	103.0	105.7
season	14.9	14.8		102.1	106.6
opponent	15.2	14.9		109.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	13.7	16.6	14.8	15.2
GSW	13.7	14.0	13.4	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	74	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-8	17	15.2	15.0	0.24	14.0	12.9	1.12
DeMarcus Cousins	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-10	21	16.4	12.9	3.50	13.8	13.7	0.05
Marcus Thornton	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.53	1	0	1	15.0	15.8	-0.84	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Beno Udrih	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	0	1	15.1	15.3	-0.17	13.6	14.1	-0.44
Samuel Dalembert	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	1	-1	15.7	14.3	1.40	13.0	15.3	-2.33
Jason Thompson	56	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	5	-9	13.8	17.0	-3.21	14.3	13.2	1.12
Darnell Jackson	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	6	-11	12.6	15.5	-2.96	15.7	13.5	2.16
Francisco Garcia	45	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	4	-7	16.6	14.0	2.52	13.9	13.6	0.30
Donte Greene	34	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	6	-11	13.7	15.9	-2.20	13.8	13.7	0.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	25	25	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-5	9	13.9	13.7	0.20	13.5	15.8	-2.28
Monta Ellis	53	52	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-6	11	13.1	14.5	-1.44	16.6	13.6	3.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	11	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-6	11	12.5	13.9	-1.38	11.7	15.7	-4.00
Ekpe Udoh	54	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	1	-3	13.8	13.7	0.10	15.5	14.8	0.67
Stephen Curry	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-2	3	12.9	15.4	-2.49	16.7	12.2	4.41
Lou Amundson	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	6	-13	13.9	13.7	0.16	15.6	15.0	0.54
Jeremy Lin	31	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	4	-9	15.7	12.9	2.81	12.5	16.3	-3.77
Reggie Williams	39	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	4	-9	14.9	13.0	1.89	13.5	16.3	-2.78
David Lee	94	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-1	1	13.7	15.3	-1.66	15.5	11.0	4.50
Dorell Wright	100	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.8	0.0	13.77	15.2	0.0	15.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.28,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.22,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.08,0	90.9%
SEA 95, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.17,0	90.8%
PHX 96, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.15,0	90.8%