NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	4.6 [942]		MVP	Willie Green (NOH): +29.7%
New Orleans Hornets	109		Comeback	2.3 [778]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (PHX): -9.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	68%	0.09	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Garret Siler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.26	0.04	0.01	17	86%	0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	10	81%	0.20	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	17	58%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.0	27.3	15.0	26.3	2.5	25.2	123.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.8%

PHX -14.9%

NOH +6.9%

NOH +9.4%

PHX -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.5	104.3	119.8	105.7
season	14.5	16.2		108.0	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		104.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	16.9	16.7	15.2	15.2
NOH	15.8	13.8	14.7	21.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	56	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.40	14	-26	40	15.0	15.6	-0.58	15.1	17.6	-2.54
Robin Lopez	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-8	4	14.0	15.4	-1.45	18.9	15.6	3.28
Josh Childress	19	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-15	18	16.7	14.9	1.81	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Aaron Brooks	60	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	14.9	15.9	-1.07	15.2	17.8	-2.64
Hakim Warrick	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-5	-2	16.1	15.0	1.15	13.3	16.8	-3.54
Garret Siler	12	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-3	-6	17.2	15.0	2.30	12.5	16.5	-4.00
Jared Dudley	76	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-11	10	14.9	16.9	-2.07	16.5	13.9	2.58
Grant Hill	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	1	-14	14.6	16.6	-1.95	16.4	15.4	0.96
Channing Frye	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	0	-12	15.0	15.7	-0.64	16.3	15.4	0.95
Zabian Dowdell	33	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	15.9	14.9	1.07	17.8	15.2	2.64
Vince Carter	49	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.06	-19	7	-26	16.1	14.3	1.76	17.1	14.9	2.20

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	56	58	0.79	-0.29	1.09	-0.06	29	-17	46	16.6	15.2	1.45	15.3	15.1	0.21
Jason Smith	31	32	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-3	18	17.9	15.1	2.84	15.4	15.2	0.24
Trevor Ariza	77	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	2	8	16.2	15.4	0.75	14.9	16.9	-1.98
Jarrett Jack	33	34	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	17.9	15.0	2.84	16.3	14.6	1.65
Aaron Gray	16	18	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	-2	16	12.4	16.8	-4.40	16.2	15.0	1.21
Chris Paul	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	2	8	16.2	15.5	0.73	14.9	16.1	-1.14
Quincy Pondexter	16	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	15	-18	16.1	16.1	-0.00	15.4	15.2	0.20
Carl Landry	63	64	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	19	-26	15.4	17.5	-2.07	15.2	15.2	0.01
Emeka Okafor	59	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	15	-18	15.3	17.5	-2.21	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Patrick Ewing Jr.	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	10	-8	21.0	16.0	4.99	17.5	15.2	2.30
Marco Belinelli	35	35	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.20	-17	29	-46	15.2	16.6	-1.45	15.1	15.3	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
NJN 97, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 98, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%