NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	10.2 [57]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +33.8%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	3.4 [325]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -35.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18	0.06	0.13	-0.00	11	61%	0.24	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.05	11	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	13	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.16
Ben Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.05	0.04	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.04
Will Bynum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.03
DaJuan Summers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	46%	0.00	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.03,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	16	44%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.20	-0.16	-0.01	11	9%	-0.22	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.19,0.34	0.34	-0.01	0.38	0.04	15	57%	0.54	5	-0.20	16	87%	0.09
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	-0.07	0.03	13	74%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.10
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	18	54%	0.08	4	-0.15	12	83%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	17	45%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	32.1	16.4	23.6	3.5	37.0	139.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.2%

WAS +26.0%

DET -9.6%

DET -7.0%

WAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	17.1	12.0	15.5	106.1	108.1	105.7
season	16.7	15.1		106.4	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		108.7	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.7	15.4	17.1	17.4	17.1
WAS	12.1	13.9	10.6	11.4	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	43	44	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-13	24	16.2	17.8	-1.65	12.5	11.5	0.95
Ben Gordon	29	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.13	13	-15	28	15.0	18.0	-2.95	13.7	11.2	2.48
Ben Wallace	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-4	6	15.1	17.6	-2.52	12.8	11.8	0.99
DaJuan Summers	4	3	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	0	-2	18.7	17.1	1.70	9.0	12.1	-3.06
Chris Wilcox	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	8	-18	18.9	16.3	2.55	11.9	12.0	-0.14
Tracy McGrady	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.52	10	-12	22	16.5	18.1	-1.62	11.9	12.0	-0.09
Austin Daye	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.59	8	-10	18	16.5	17.8	-1.30	12.4	11.5	0.87
Richard Hamilton	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	12	-26	18.9	15.9	2.94	11.7	12.2	-0.49
Will Bynum	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	9	-20	17.5	16.5	0.99	11.5	12.8	-1.26
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	7	-16	17.5	16.5	0.99	11.4	13.1	-1.79
Greg Monroe	89	89	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	6	-14	17.5	13.8	3.69	11.8	13.6	-1.81

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	65	67	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.35	17	-15	32	11.3	13.2	-1.88	18.5	14.2	4.38
Maurice Evans	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-4	10	12.5	10.3	2.22	16.6	18.9	-2.31
John Wall	94	94	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-4	10	11.5	20.4	-8.88	17.6	8.0	9.61
Andray Blatche	85	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	-1	4	12.4	9.2	3.21	16.5	20.6	-4.10
Jordan Crawford	83	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	1	0	12.4	9.9	2.42	17.0	18.0	-1.02
Mustafa Shakur	9	8	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	1	0	9.8	12.2	-2.41	20.7	16.8	3.95
Othyus Jeffers	36	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	10	-18	11.7	12.1	-0.48	16.5	17.4	-0.89
Yi Jianlian	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	8	-14	11.4	12.2	-0.75	18.3	16.7	1.62
Kevin Seraphin	20	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	12	-22	12.9	11.7	1.17	13.2	18.1	-4.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.28,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,1	90.1%
CLE 97, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.32,0.42,1	90.0%
MIA 80, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	90.0%