NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	120		Excitement	11.1 [21]		MVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): +68.2%
Golden State Warriors	123		Comeback	14.3 [49]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): -11.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.46	0.20	0.26	-0.00	18	71%	0.49	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.17
Hedo Turkoglu	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26	0.12	0.14	0.01	15	73%	0.32	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jameer Nelson	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	19	56%	0.28	5	-0.19	5	100%	0.10
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	46%	0.01	2	-0.07	10	50%	-0.09
Ryan Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.68	0.68	0.30	0.41	0.02	17	94%	0.79	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.59,0.59,0.64	0.64	0.24	0.41	0.01	24	74%	0.76	3	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0,0,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.19	0.19	-0.02	0.20	-0.01	19	55%	0.44	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	30.1	15.5	22.9	2.5	36.5	2.5	24.8	160.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +93.1%

ORL -11.3%

ORL -28.4%

ORL -1.2%

ORL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.5	116.5	121.8	105.7
season	15.2	14.8		106.3	106.6
opponent	15.2	16.2		109.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	13.7	16.4	15.5	17.2	14.2	15.5
GSW	17.0	16.4	15.2	16.2	11.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	30	29	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.17	2	-5	7	17.2	14.8	2.39	18.2	14.7	3.46
Ryan Anderson	54	53	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-10	17	16.5	14.3	2.23	17.3	13.9	3.36
Brandon Bass	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	3	-9	16.0	15.1	0.88	16.0	15.5	0.45
Quentin Richardson	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-4	5	16.1	14.9	1.15	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Hedo Turkoglu	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.51	-2	-1	-1	14.8	17.8	-3.02	16.0	14.7	1.30
Jason Richardson	86	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	14.8	18.8	-3.94	14.8	19.8	-4.96
Dwight Howard	92	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	2	-7	15.2	18.2	-3.03	15.2	19.5	-4.21
Jameer Nelson	79	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.52	-8	5	-13	15.2	16.2	-1.01	14.9	18.4	-3.48

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	75	77	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.48	18	-15	33	14.6	18.8	-4.13	14.7	17.7	-3.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	46	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-5	13	16.2	15.3	0.84	16.4	14.7	1.65
Monta Ellis	101	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.7	0.0	15.70	15.5	0.0	15.48
Stephen Curry	79	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	2	-1	14.9	18.5	-3.58	14.7	18.3	-3.56
Andris Biedrins	51	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-2	7	14.7	16.7	-1.93	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Acie Law	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	1	1	18.5	14.9	3.58	18.3	14.7	3.56
David Lee	78	80	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	1	1	15.7	15.7	0.07	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Ekpe Udoh	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	5	-7	18.4	15.3	3.08	16.8	15.3	1.48
Lou Amundson	6	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	13	-23	21.7	15.3	6.34	15.7	15.5	0.20
Al Thornton	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	13	-23	20.2	15.1	5.16	19.2	15.0	4.18
Reggie Williams	14	14	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.14	-5	8	-13	17.5	15.4	2.09	16.5	15.3	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.55,0.91,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.84,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.24,0.73,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.94,1,1	88.8%
MIN 90, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.93,1	88.0%
NJN 93, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	87.1%