NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	5.9 [639]		MVP	Randy Foye (LAC): +25.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	4.0 [655]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -23.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	14	59%	0.18	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.03
Delonte West	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	60%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	14	63%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Jeff Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.08	-0.01	20	65%	0.30	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	14	58%	0.12	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	0.00	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.07	0.01	10	30%	-0.11	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	32.2	19.4	30.8	2.0	35.2	146.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +7.4%

BOS +13.2%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +17.5%

BOS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.5	104.2	97.9	105.7
season	15.7	15.4		104.8	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.8		107.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	16.0	11.4	18.3	14.8
LAC	14.2	19.2	14.3	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-10	27	13.9	17.0	-3.10	16.3	14.3	1.97
Ray Allen	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-8	23	14.8	14.5	0.29	16.3	13.5	2.79
Paul Pierce	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	13.2	20.2	-7.03	15.9	15.0	0.84
Nenad Krstic	41	43	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.02	14	-7	21	15.1	14.5	0.56	16.1	15.3	0.81
Rajon Rondo	73	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	2	3	13.2	19.9	-6.62	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Delonte West	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	14	-21	17.5	13.2	4.33	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Von Wafer	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	6	-5	16.4	14.6	1.78	17.3	15.6	1.71
Chris Johnson	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	17.1	14.6	2.55	11.2	16.0	-4.84
Glen Davis	64	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	19	-31	16.0	12.2	3.79	14.9	17.2	-2.25
Jeff Green	33	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	17	-27	16.9	13.6	3.31	15.8	15.6	0.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	38	40	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-8	9	14.9	16.2	-1.27	14.9	14.7	0.25
Willie Warren	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-7	7	16.6	15.5	1.06	18.1	14.1	3.99
Craig Smith	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-8	9	17.0	15.4	1.58	14.1	14.9	-0.86
Randy Foye	86	88	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-11	15	15.1	21.7	-6.61	14.8	14.6	0.22
Al-Farouq Aminu	39	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.1	16.1	-1.02	15.8	14.0	1.85
Chris Kaman	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	15.8	15.6	0.18	16.2	13.2	3.04
Ryan Gomes	58	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	2	-11	16.2	14.9	1.23	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Eric Bledsoe	81	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	5	-17	16.1	13.5	2.60	14.0	20.0	-6.05
Blake Griffin	82	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	6	-19	15.7	15.5	0.23	14.0	20.8	-6.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.22,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.6%
UTA 97, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
CHI 101, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	93.1%