NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	7.7 [312]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +10.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	3.1 [486]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -30.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	17	64%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.07
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	14	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.08
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Harangody	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31	-0.17	-0.18	-0.04	13	36%	-0.07	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	13	48%	0.15	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	69%	0.21	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.03
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	16	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	9	20%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	33.2	16.3	22.5	2.4	38.2	140.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +26.9%

BOS -5.7%

CHA +23.7%

CHA +4.8%

CHA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.5	93.7	98.9	105.7
season	15.7	16.2		104.8	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		106.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	15.8	17.8	15.5	15.7
CHA	14.0	13.6	16.5	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	15	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-5	5	17.0	15.5	1.51	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Von Wafer	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	16.7	15.3	1.45	14.7	14.5	0.14
Nate Robinson	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	17.9	15.1	2.80	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Kendrick Perkins	69	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	16.4	13.9	2.48	14.6	14.5	0.12
Kevin Garnett	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-9	13	14.5	18.0	-3.44	14.9	14.1	0.81
Paul Pierce	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-7	9	15.1	17.7	-2.54	14.7	14.2	0.45
Ray Allen	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.8	15.5	0.31	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Glen Davis	44	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	7	-19	15.9	15.6	0.34	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Rajon Rondo	86	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	15.3	19.6	-4.23	14.6	14.7	-0.18

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	37	37	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-5	15	13.5	15.3	-1.72	16.5	15.2	1.29
Nazr Mohammed	36	36	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-4	13	14.6	14.6	-0.05	16.8	15.1	1.74
Shaun Livingston	44	45	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-5	15	14.4	14.7	-0.34	16.0	15.4	0.60
Gerald Henderson	67	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-2	9	14.4	15.1	-0.78	16.8	13.0	3.81
Gerald Wallace	81	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	14.8	13.3	1.53	14.9	20.9	-6.02
Derrick Brown	11	10	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	15.8	14.4	1.39	17.4	15.5	1.87
Stephen Jackson	31	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	14.1	14.8	-0.78	15.0	16.1	-1.11
D.J. Augustin	51	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	14.7	14.4	0.34	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Boris Diaw	60	60	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	9	-13	14.7	14.3	0.44	14.8	17.2	-2.38
Kwame Brown	57	57	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	10	-15	15.1	13.8	1.33	15.5	16.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	92.5%
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	92.4%
DEN 92, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	91.8%