inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 116 Excitement9.0 [115] MVPErsan Ilyasova (MIL): +44.6%
Toronto Raptors 110 Comeback2.6 [541] LVPSonny Weems (TOR): -18.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.450,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.450.220.230.0010100%0.512-0.075100%0.03
Andrew Bogut0.260,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.260.160.110.011480%0.301-0.0420%-0.05
Corey Maggette0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.230.040.210.022156%0.435-0.191080%0.01
Keyon Dooling0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.060.010.060.01656%0.111-0.05650%-0.13
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01669%0.132-0.074100%0.02
Jon Brockman0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18-0.06-0.12-0.001344%-0.103-0.08875%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.420.420.190.250.021177%0.4200.00989%0.07
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
Julian Wright0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.030.00583%0.082-0.072100%0.01
Trey Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.03-0.00845%-0.0300.00475%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.100.070.001435%0.053-0.08333%-0.03
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.08-0.001254%0.043-0.1400%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.002344%-0.043-0.05683%-0.01
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.13-0.011336%-0.151-0.042100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.330.016.627.32.437.22.414.2156.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +96.2%
TOR -5.0%
TOR -15.4%
TOR -16.3%
TOR -9.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game16.714.815.5114.9108.9105.7
season16.215.1100.1104.7
opponent15.515.4111.2100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL16.018.714.517.816.416.7
TOR15.314.915.514.113.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova66660.56-0.060.620.2710-41416.517.0-0.5715.114.40.70
Luc Mbah a Moute41410.53-0.030.550.4142217.116.30.7915.114.60.53
Keyon Dooling79770.460.040.410.1012-61815.819.7-3.8714.416.1-1.70
Carlos Delfino67670.420.080.330.48-28-1017.415.22.1414.315.8-1.45
Corey Maggette85840.350.150.190.2051416.418.0-1.6014.715.7-1.05
Andrew Bogut74720.330.170.160.0111-51616.317.7-1.4815.014.30.73
Chris Douglas-Roberts46470.200.30-0.09-0.2917-112815.517.6-2.0815.314.40.87
Earl Boykins22240.040.46-0.410.22-612-1819.715.83.8716.114.41.70
Larry Sanders1112-0.110.61-0.720.09-713-2019.416.33.0412.415.2-2.74
Jon Brockman1010-0.140.64-0.770.04-612-1816.016.7-0.7314.614.9-0.26
Garrett Temple45-0.140.64-0.780.10-814-2223.016.46.6117.414.72.70

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Johnson54-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-2-216.814.72.0716.716.60.10
Alexis Ajinca2322-0.09-0.410.31-0.152-81016.514.32.1317.816.31.43
Ed Davis3937-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-91216.014.11.9018.015.92.08
Julian Wright2625-0.19-0.310.120.28-1610-2613.815.2-1.4315.916.9-0.97
DeMar DeRozan7176-0.22-0.280.06-0.406-121814.615.4-0.8616.317.6-1.31
Jerryd Bayless4141-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-3015.414.41.0216.916.50.46
Sonny Weems8281-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.343-91214.715.5-0.8616.816.00.81
Andrea Bargnani7375-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-82-1014.216.4-2.1616.118.2-2.02
Jose Calderon7977-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.26-4-2-215.014.30.6616.915.90.97
Amir Johnson6768-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.18-93-1214.216.0-1.7616.117.7-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.09,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 99, TOR 950.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.54,0.31,0.04,0.03,0.08,088.3%
WAS 114, CHA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.04,088.0%
GSW 116, LAL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.42,087.3%