NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	6.5 [527]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +34.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	2.7 [717]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -14.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	16	64%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	18	46%	0.07	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	11	72%	0.14	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.21	0.17	0.04	10	84%	0.39	1	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.00	14	70%	0.30	3	-0.05	9	67%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	9	71%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	5	71%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.09	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	29.3	15.5	26.8	1.0	35.0	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.7%

PHI +15.7%

PHI +0.1%

PHI +7.0%

WAS -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.5	103.2	116.0	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		100.9	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.5	16.9	14.7	13.6	15.6
PHI	15.3	13.8	16.7	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	22	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-17	22	16.5	15.3	1.16	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Trevor Booker	2	2	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-10	8	15.5	15.6	-0.07	2.0	15.4	-13.36
Al Thornton	24	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	14.8	15.8	-1.04	14.8	15.2	-0.33
Kevin Seraphin	15	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-2	-8	17.7	15.2	2.50	15.5	15.0	0.51
JaVale McGee	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-9	6	16.3	14.9	1.35	15.9	14.3	1.60
Rashard Lewis	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.1	17.5	-2.33	15.4	13.5	1.96
John Wall	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-7	2	15.0	17.7	-2.66	15.5	13.3	2.27
Andray Blatche	80	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	15.9	13.5	2.43	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Kirk Hinrich	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	1	-14	14.5	17.0	-2.50	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Nick Young	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	1	-14	16.1	13.5	2.55	14.6	16.9	-2.31

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	53	52	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-4	20	14.7	15.6	-0.86	14.4	17.0	-2.55
Thaddeus Young	59	58	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-2	16	14.5	16.0	-1.43	14.4	17.4	-2.96
Elton Brand	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-4	20	15.2	14.7	0.55	15.8	15.1	0.62
Jrue Holiday	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	5	2	15.7	12.5	3.26	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Evan Turner	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	16	-20	15.1	15.0	0.05	16.2	14.8	1.43
Jason Kapono	12	12	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	8	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.75	16.3	15.5	0.88
Jodie Meeks	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	6	0	14.6	15.3	-0.78	18.0	14.3	3.69
Andres Nocioni	56	59	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	6	0	15.3	14.8	0.48	14.8	16.9	-2.15
Spencer Hawes	34	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	12	-12	15.6	14.8	0.76	17.4	14.5	2.93
Marreese Speights	33	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	17	-22	14.7	15.3	-0.63	15.8	15.5	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.6,0.73,0.93,0.9,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.89,0.93,0.99,1	93.0%
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.8%
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	92.7%