NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	77		Excitement	5.8 [671]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +16.9%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.5 [1065]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -14.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jon Brockman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	17	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	9	55%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	8	58%	0.07	3	-0.13	10	60%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	13	36%	-0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	12	15%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.03	15	67%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	16	63%	0.19	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.6	29.0	15.4	27.4	2.5	31.2	131.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +59.3%

MIL -5.8%

MIL -15.1%

CHI +7.9%

CHI +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.5	86.5	102.3	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		100.1	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		99.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.4	14.6	16.5	16.5	16.4
CHI	15.0	14.2	17.8	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	51	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-17	21	16.2	16.8	-0.64	17.6	13.9	3.63
Larry Sanders	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-8	3	16.6	16.4	0.12	12.5	16.4	-3.95
Andrew Bogut	66	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-14	15	17.1	14.7	2.42	16.2	15.8	0.43
Chris Douglas-Roberts	32	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.9	16.7	-0.80	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Keyon Dooling	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-8	3	16.5	16.2	0.32	16.1	16.0	0.11
Corey Maggette	52	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	15.9	17.3	-1.40	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Jon Brockman	28	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	0	-13	14.3	17.4	-3.16	15.0	16.6	-1.57
John Salmons	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	3	-19	16.6	15.5	1.10	16.6	12.9	3.68
Luc Mbah a Moute	61	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	3	-19	17.5	14.2	3.26	16.3	15.5	0.81

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.05	16	-3	19	16.6	12.9	3.68	16.6	15.5	1.10
Carlos Boozer	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	3	7	16.7	14.1	2.61	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Omer Asik	19	19	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	7	-1	15.4	16.3	-0.92	17.9	16.0	1.90
Derrick Rose	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	0	13	16.7	13.6	3.10	16.4	16.8	-0.44
CJ Watson	17	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	13	-13	13.6	16.7	-3.10	16.8	16.4	0.44
Kyle Korver	42	42	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	12	-11	15.9	16.3	-0.36	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Ronnie Brewer	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	7	-1	15.0	16.7	-1.67	14.2	17.7	-3.51
Taj Gibson	28	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	8	-3	14.9	16.6	-1.70	16.3	16.5	-0.19
Kurt Thomas	56	57	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	8	-3	15.5	17.1	-1.58	16.7	16.0	0.75
Keith Bogans	33	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	10	-7	17.3	15.4	1.89	17.6	15.8	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.65,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	94.1%
NOP 92, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
SAC 95, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%