NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	7.9 [266]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +25.9%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	8.3 [339]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (WAS): -15.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.00	13	60%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
John Wall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	7	48%	0.00	3	-0.06	13	69%	-0.06
JaVale McGee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	15	50%	0.11	6	-0.26	4	75%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	16	37%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.11	-0.01	7	94%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.16	-0.02	15	43%	0.20	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	9	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	16	54%	0.13	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	1	87%	0.10	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	27.7	16.0	28.2	2.4	34.5	134.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.2%

HOU +9.6%

WAS -10.3%

WAS -2.7%

WAS -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.5	97.9	104.2	105.7
season	15.1	15.2		100.9	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	14.5	16.5	16.6	15.7
HOU	14.1	16.1	12.8	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	47	45	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.15	5	-12	17	16.3	15.2	1.09	15.3	13.6	1.64
Josh Howard	46	49	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-15	23	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Trevor Booker	5	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-9	11	15.2	15.8	-0.58	9.8	14.7	-4.87
Al Thornton	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.8	-0.41	14.7	14.4	0.35
John Wall	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-12	17	14.9	16.9	-2.03	14.7	14.0	0.77
Rashard Lewis	84	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	0	-7	15.9	14.6	1.26	14.6	13.4	1.19
Nick Young	73	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	7	-21	16.2	14.4	1.74	14.6	13.7	0.90
Kirk Hinrich	76	76	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	7	-21	16.0	14.8	1.13	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Andray Blatche	74	76	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.35	-17	10	-27	15.9	15.2	0.65	14.0	15.8	-1.81

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	74	73	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.34	20	-13	33	13.7	16.8	-3.12	16.4	13.5	2.98
Charles Hayes	49	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-10	27	14.2	14.6	-0.39	17.1	14.2	2.83
Kevin Martin	62	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.28	12	-5	17	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.3	14.8	1.52
Kyle Lowry	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	13.8	15.5	-1.72	16.3	14.8	1.52
Aaron Brooks	45	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	4	-1	15.3	13.6	1.68	15.0	16.4	-1.48
Brad Miller	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	8	-9	18.5	13.9	4.66	13.2	16.1	-2.90
Courtney Lee	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	15.3	13.9	1.40	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Jordan Hill	44	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	17	-27	15.1	13.8	1.29	14.5	16.7	-2.15
Chase Budinger	32	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	12	-17	15.7	13.8	1.91	14.6	16.3	-1.74
Luis Scola	66	65	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.08	-8	15	-23	13.5	16.3	-2.79	15.8	15.7	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.86,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 120, CHI 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.92,1	91.0%
MIA 83, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.84,1	91.0%
ATL 96, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.87,0.92,1	90.7%