NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	6.2 [573]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +24.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	3.5 [271]		LVP	Corey Maggette (MIL): -10.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.05	0.14	-0.06	15	58%	0.26	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.15	-0.00	7	60%	0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	16	47%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.05	0.06	15	51%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.01	7	93%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.01	9	52%	0.11	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.14	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	13	59%	0.14	4	-0.16	6	50%	-0.03
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.4	15.4	28.4	2.4	29.5	126.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +6.9%

MIL -4.4%

UTA +29.7%

UTA +21.8%

MIL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.5	110.5	98.9	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		106.4	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	18.0	16.7	19.2	17.3
MIL	13.9	16.2	17.6	16.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	61	61	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.17	21	-12	33	16.9	18.4	-1.49	16.7	14.4	2.30
Deron Williams	71	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-10	29	16.0	23.3	-7.31	15.5	18.4	-2.89
Andrei Kirilenko	67	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-9	27	17.2	17.8	-0.63	16.6	14.1	2.47
Paul Millsap	57	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-5	19	15.4	21.1	-5.79	15.0	18.0	-3.00
CJ Miles	51	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	18.0	16.3	1.71	15.7	16.5	-0.87
Kyrylo Fesenko	1	2	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	9	-9	24.0	17.2	6.78	10.5	16.1	-5.63
Raja Bell	45	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	16.1	18.6	-2.55	15.6	16.5	-0.92
Francisco Elson	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	17	-25	21.3	15.7	5.61	18.3	15.1	3.20
Ronnie Price	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	15	-21	20.4	16.9	3.51	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Earl Watson	19	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	16	-23	22.7	15.8	6.91	17.9	15.5	2.45
Mehmet Okur	24	24	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.02	-12	21	-33	18.1	17.0	1.14	14.7	16.5	-1.78

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	14	15	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.02	5	-14	19	13.1	16.6	-3.49	19.1	16.9	2.14
Luc Mbah a Moute	20	20	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-10	11	16.5	15.8	0.71	22.1	15.8	6.32
Jon Brockman	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	0.0	16.0	-16.00	21.0	17.3	3.74
Ersan Ilyasova	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	14.2	17.2	-2.95	14.8	19.0	-4.27
Chris Douglas-Roberts	67	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	16.4	14.8	1.56	17.4	17.0	0.34
Keyon Dooling	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-9	9	15.7	16.3	-0.65	18.7	15.8	2.91
Drew Gooden	49	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	17.6	14.0	3.60	19.1	15.1	4.07
John Salmons	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	16.5	10.1	6.37	17.3	17.0	0.33
Andrew Bogut	68	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	6	-21	15.7	17.1	-1.41	15.7	22.6	-6.90
Brandon Jennings	57	56	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.26	-20	11	-31	15.7	16.5	-0.81	15.7	20.3	-4.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.08,0	91.5%
LAC 104, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.34,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.17,0	91.0%
MEM 107, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.47,0.45,0.29,0.39,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	91.0%