NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	3.5 [1151]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +5.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.0 [1200]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -10.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	63%	0.08	2	-0.02	13	46%	-0.07
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	78%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.04	23	47%	0.00	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	23	51%	-0.01	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	28.3	16.8	26.2	2.8	44.2	145.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.9%

LAC -2.9%

ORL +11.6%

LAC -0.0%

LAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	17.4	15.5	105.6	96.6	105.7
season	15.2	15.4		106.3	104.4
opponent	15.3	16.2		107.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.5	13.5	18.1	16.9	15.1
LAC	19.3	15.9	18.9	15.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	60	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-9	27	14.1	17.3	-3.24	17.9	16.4	1.53
Dwight Howard	46	47	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-8	25	14.9	15.4	-0.48	17.4	17.5	-0.15
Vince Carter	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-1	11	16.1	13.3	2.75	18.8	14.6	4.19
Jameer Nelson	60	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	5	-1	15.3	14.7	0.64	17.4	17.5	-0.10
Mickael Pietrus	54	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	8	-7	15.5	14.5	1.00	17.1	18.0	-0.97
Jason Williams	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	4	1	14.7	15.3	-0.64	17.5	17.4	0.10
JJ Redick	39	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	7	-5	13.9	16.1	-2.14	15.6	18.7	-3.08
Marcin Gortat	45	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	14	-19	15.3	14.9	0.42	17.8	17.1	0.66
Rashard Lewis	53	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	16	-23	15.8	14.1	1.65	16.7	18.4	-1.67

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	27	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.25	9	-18	27	16.4	17.9	-1.48	18.1	13.6	4.54
Al-Farouq Aminu	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-10	11	14.4	18.4	-4.01	12.2	16.0	-3.78
Craig Smith	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-7	5	16.3	17.6	-1.32	14.6	15.2	-0.62
Jarron Collins	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-5	1	14.1	17.8	-3.70	10.1	15.7	-5.58
Eric Bledsoe	29	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-2	-5	17.0	17.6	-0.64	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Eric Gordon	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-12	15	17.6	16.5	1.08	16.1	10.2	5.92
Baron Davis	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-7	5	17.6	17.0	0.64	15.5	14.3	1.24
Rasual Butler	51	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	17.1	17.8	-0.70	15.2	14.9	0.30
Ryan Gomes	44	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	5	-19	18.3	16.5	1.77	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Blake Griffin	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	17.6	16.3	1.32	15.2	14.6	0.62
DeAndre Jordan	39	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	7	-23	19.6	15.7	3.88	14.0	16.0	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAC 122, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.08,0.18,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
IND 123, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	95.2%