NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	9.1 [104]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +71.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	25.2 [92]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -26.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.71	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.71	-0.01	0.71	-0.02	6	50%	0.73	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.28	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.28	0.05	0.23	0.00	15	65%	0.40	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.00	9	76%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	38%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Steve Blake	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	10	25%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	13	36%	-0.12	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	-0.02	6	64%	0.27	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	69%	0.36	5	-0.34	7	71%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	6	79%	0.15	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	8	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	17	40%	0.00	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	28.5	17.4	26.7	2.0	34.3	140.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +62.9%

LAC -5.2%

LAC -25.1%

LAL +19.0%

LAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	88.8	87.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.4		108.8	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.9	15.9	15.2	14.4	14.8
LAC	15.5	13.5	12.5	16.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	74	72	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.63	6	-5	11	14.5	15.7	-1.21	13.8	16.7	-2.97
Derek Fisher	48	48	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-7	15	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.5	13.6	1.90
Pau Gasol	82	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.58	2	-1	3	14.5	16.6	-2.14	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Matt Barnes	50	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.58	0	1	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.52	15.0	14.0	1.02
Kobe Bryant	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.50	-3	4	-7	15.2	14.1	1.08	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Shannon Brown	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	-3	7	14.1	15.2	-1.08	15.2	14.2	0.97
Derrick Caracter	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	0	1	16.8	14.7	2.07	14.6	14.5	0.05
Luke Walton	15	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.5	14.7	0.82	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Steve Blake	50	50	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	8	-15	15.0	14.6	0.42	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Lamar Odom	68	68	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.42	-2	3	-5	15.5	13.4	2.07	15.3	12.9	2.33

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	46	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-2	3	14.1	14.9	-0.75	15.3	14.4	0.96
Jarron Collins	22	21	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-10	19	13.7	14.8	-1.12	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Craig Smith	30	29	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-9	17	14.5	14.6	-0.12	15.8	14.4	1.36
Rasual Butler	28	29	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.15	-5	4	-9	14.5	14.6	-0.07	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Eric Gordon	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-7	13	14.6	14.5	0.07	15.2	13.9	1.27
Eric Bledsoe	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-7	13	14.6	14.5	0.07	15.2	13.9	1.27
Baron Davis	28	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	6	-13	14.5	14.6	-0.07	13.9	15.2	-1.27
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	6	-13	14.7	14.1	0.64	14.9	14.7	0.12
Blake Griffin	69	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	9	-19	14.7	14.2	0.54	14.4	16.0	-1.63
Ryan Gomes	60	57	-1.09	0.59	-1.67	-0.91	-6	5	-11	14.8	14.1	0.69	14.6	15.1	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.71,0.94,0.73,0	90.2%
LAL 88, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.74,0	89.4%
MIL 105, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.84,0	88.5%