NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	3.8 [1096]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +13.2%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.1 [1207]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -10.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0.03	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.02	9	71%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	16	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	12	55%	0.04	6	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	15	71%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	17	49%	0.07	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	15	48%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	15	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	15	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.5	16.3	24.0	1.8	28.4	125.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.7%

IND -0.8%

UTA +11.3%

UTA +28.3%

UTA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	17.7	15.5	103.5	125.0	105.7
season	14.7	15.9		103.1	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	16.0	15.5	16.1	15.6
UTA	15.6	18.3	15.8	21.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	13.3	15.9	-2.54	16.9	17.8	-0.86
Dahntay Jones	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	13.3	16.0	-2.71	19.8	17.3	2.53
Josh McRoberts	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-23	24	15.8	15.3	0.47	17.6	17.7	-0.11
Danny Granger	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-19	16	15.7	15.3	0.39	17.2	18.4	-1.22
Solomon Jones	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-17	12	13.8	16.5	-2.69	17.4	17.8	-0.47
Darren Collison	58	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-13	4	15.4	15.9	-0.48	18.7	15.3	3.46
T.J. Ford	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-9	-4	15.9	15.4	0.48	15.3	18.7	-3.46
Brandon Rush	72	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-10	-2	15.9	13.8	2.16	18.0	15.7	2.31
Roy Hibbert	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-5	-12	16.5	13.8	2.69	17.8	17.4	0.47
James Posey	29	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	-2	-18	16.0	15.4	0.55	18.0	17.5	0.49
Mike Dunleavy	29	31	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.22	-26	4	-30	15.6	15.6	-0.07	16.7	18.2	-1.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	0	22	16.8	20.0	-3.22	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Paul Millsap	65	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	3	16	16.6	20.8	-4.23	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Raja Bell	51	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	4	14	17.5	17.8	-0.31	16.6	14.3	2.29
Al Jefferson	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	16	-10	17.7	17.7	-0.01	14.8	17.3	-2.43
CJ Miles	37	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	12	-2	19.0	16.7	2.36	17.4	14.4	2.92
Andrei Kirilenko	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	16	-10	18.3	15.8	2.48	15.9	14.7	1.11
Kyrylo Fesenko	15	13	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	8	6	19.6	17.3	2.34	17.7	15.2	2.47
Ronnie Price	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	17	-12	16.4	18.1	-1.72	13.8	16.2	-2.40
Francisco Elson	15	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	20	-18	15.7	18.1	-2.32	16.9	15.4	1.51
Jeremy Evans	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	17	-12	14.7	17.8	-3.10	6.3	15.9	-9.61
Gordon Hayward	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	15.7	17.8	-2.14	8.6	16.0	-7.44
Earl Watson	38	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	23	-24	20.1	15.8	4.26	15.7	15.5	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 91, LAC 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 88, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%