NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	10.3 [49]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +45.4%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	103.2 [19]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -20.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.32	0.10	0.24	0.02	8	94%	0.37	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	69%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	13	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	58%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	12	36%	0.07	4	-0.22	4	100%	0.04
Andre Iguodala	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.21	0.01	-0.23	-0.01	18	48%	-0.19	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.45	0.45	0.09	0.35	-0.01	15	61%	0.47	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.14	0.31	0.08	15	66%	0.44	1	-0.06	8	100%	0.22
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.15	0.04	15	62%	0.25	2	-0.05	9	67%	0.07
Alonzo Gee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.11,-0.2,-0.32,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	21	39%	-0.03	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.14	8	-0.28	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	29.7	11.0	30.2	2.7	45.0	1.7	16.2	165.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +20.0%

WAS +42.4%

PHI -1.4%

PHI -7.4%

PHI -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.5	109.6	111.5	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		104.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.6	14.4	17.5	13.9	17.5	15.2
WAS	15.4	17.6	14.5	13.2	17.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	58	59	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.31	2	-4	6	14.3	16.4	-2.10	14.1	17.0	-2.94
Elton Brand	51	50	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-5	8	16.1	14.4	1.64	15.6	15.1	0.47
Lou Williams	47	46	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-10	18	15.1	15.4	-0.29	15.3	15.4	-0.17
Spencer Hawes	41	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-2	2	17.0	14.1	2.94	15.7	15.1	0.62
Marreese Speights	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-7	12	14.4	16.2	-1.81	15.9	14.6	1.31
Andre Iguodala	98	97	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-4	6	15.2	16.0	-0.83	15.4	15.0	0.38
Thaddeus Young	44	46	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.60	-3	1	-4	15.0	15.4	-0.38	16.5	14.4	2.13
Jrue Holiday	84	84	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.61	-6	4	-10	15.0	16.3	-1.40	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Evan Turner	40	40	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.48	-21	19	-40	15.9	14.8	1.18	14.6	15.8	-1.23

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	91	91	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-12	26	15.1	17.2	-2.14	15.3	15.0	0.25
Kirk Hinrich	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	-2	6	16.1	14.0	2.09	15.9	14.1	1.80
Andray Blatche	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.58	-1	3	-4	16.0	13.0	3.01	16.2	12.2	4.03
Gilbert Arenas	83	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.57	-3	5	-8	15.1	16.4	-1.34	14.8	17.4	-2.62
Nick Young	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	2	-2	15.7	14.8	0.91	14.6	16.1	-1.51
John Wall	71	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	-11	24	14.7	16.7	-2.01	15.8	14.0	1.84
Trevor Booker	26	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.20	-2	4	-6	14.1	15.8	-1.71	12.6	16.1	-3.50
Alonzo Gee	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	0.0	15.5	-15.50	0.0	15.2	-15.22
Hilton Armstrong	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	7	-12	17.9	15.1	2.77	15.5	15.2	0.31
Al Thornton	17	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	10	-18	15.1	15.4	-0.28	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Cartier Martin	13	13	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.26	-2	4	-6	14.8	15.4	-0.58	14.3	15.4	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.27,1	88.6%
PHX 102, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.27,1	88.0%
NYK 88, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.73,1	88.0%