inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 89 Excitement1.7 [1300] MVPPau Gasol (LAL): +9.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 117 Comeback1.0 [1279] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -11.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.051059%0.0100.002100%0.01
Charlie Bell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05540%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02957%-0.0020.005100%-0.00
Jeff Adrien-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.01843%-0.0100.00560%-0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03850%0.013-0.02250%-0.00
Reggie Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.100.00-0.081021%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Rodney Carney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.000.03664%-0.003-0.042100%-0.00
Dorell Wright-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.011740%-0.042-0.026100%0.01
Monta Ellis-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.00-0.021025%-0.063-0.0500%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.260.000.1610100%0.111-0.028100%0.01
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.071085%0.0610.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03475%0.023-0.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.01875%0.055-0.044100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.071653%0.0100.006100%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03664%0.021-0.01250%-0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Ebanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01550%-0.0000.00425%-0.00
Derrick Caracter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.130.00-0.11518%0.004-0.0110%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.02667%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.026.116.430.21.731.3135.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +38.8%
LAL +3.0%
LAL +3.2%
LAL +4.9%
LAL +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game16.614.215.594.7125.8105.7
season14.815.9106.6108.8
opponent15.515.2103.1109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.918.116.216.216.6
LAL11.714.013.818.114.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lin3433-0.01-0.490.49-0.186-344015.717.0-1.2816.313.13.16
Charlie Bell4140-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-313416.016.9-0.8915.713.12.66
Dan Gadzuric3029-0.10-0.400.290.19-10-18816.816.50.3114.514.10.36
Vladimir Radmanovic3636-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-272616.116.8-0.6714.913.81.11
Rodney Carney1917-0.16-0.340.180.04-7-211415.516.8-1.3515.414.01.37
Jeff Adrien4948-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-252216.616.50.0415.812.53.30
Reggie Williams3940-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-221617.715.71.9916.112.83.27
Stephen Curry4949-0.35-0.15-0.190.42-26-2-2416.816.30.4212.716.0-3.30
Andris Biedrins6060-0.40-0.10-0.300.48-302-3216.616.50.0812.816.9-4.14
Dorell Wright6666-0.47-0.03-0.440.56-357-4216.416.8-0.3812.817.8-5.04
Monta Ellis4747-0.48-0.02-0.450.43-313-3417.116.01.1512.815.7-2.93

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom55540.450.050.39-0.342712613.415.4-2.0517.015.91.05
Pau Gasol61620.350.150.20-0.442712612.817.1-4.3116.416.9-0.49
Kobe Bryant55530.310.190.12-0.302171413.115.9-2.7616.916.10.72
Derek Fisher47460.310.190.12-0.282081212.915.6-2.6717.215.91.26
Metta World Peace41400.290.210.08-0.271991012.515.6-3.0417.415.91.56
Matt Barnes39420.210.29-0.08-0.261612414.813.90.9216.316.8-0.48
Steve Blake37390.190.31-0.12-0.07919-1014.913.81.0915.517.3-1.73
Shannon Brown35380.190.31-0.12-0.161216-415.513.52.0016.716.50.18
Derrick Caracter30310.150.35-0.200.21-230-3217.312.84.4716.716.50.28
Luke Walton25230.040.46-0.410.13-331-3415.613.71.8116.216.7-0.44
Devin Ebanks26290.010.49-0.480.10-331-3416.613.33.3015.117.2-2.05
Sasha Vujacic14130.000.50-0.500.09-331-3418.213.54.6816.116.6-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 93, BOS 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
GSW 90, CHI 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
MEM 111, PHX 1320.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%