NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	2.7 [1233]		MVP	Corey Maggette (MIL): +14.4%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	2.9 [145]		LVP	Jason Collins (ATL): -7.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.00	8	91%	0.14	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
John Salmons	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	64%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	16	58%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	87%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.11	7	80%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	9	38%	-0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	28.0	14.8	25.0	1.5	26.5	123.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +23.6%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +16.2%

MIL +9.4%

MIL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.5	117.4	98.9	105.7
season	16.2	16.5		100.1	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.4	15.4	13.4	17.8	16.2
ATL	14.4	18.0	15.4	12.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	58	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-1	19	15.6	17.2	-1.63	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Ersan Ilyasova	55	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	1	15	15.8	16.8	-0.92	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Earl Boykins	38	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	9	-1	15.9	16.4	-0.49	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Keyon Dooling	39	37	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	5	7	15.4	16.8	-1.43	14.2	15.7	-1.43
Jon Brockman	44	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	5	7	16.1	16.3	-0.22	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Drew Gooden	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	12	-7	17.1	15.6	1.46	16.2	14.3	1.88
John Salmons	53	55	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	12	-7	16.8	15.4	1.43	15.7	14.2	1.43
Brandon Jennings	54	55	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	8	1	16.4	15.9	0.49	15.4	14.6	0.84
Andrew Bogut	46	47	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	16	-15	16.1	16.3	-0.28	16.1	14.0	2.15
Larry Sanders	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	16.0	16.2	-0.21	13.0	15.1	-2.14
Luc Mbah a Moute	34	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	18	-19	17.2	15.6	1.63	15.2	15.1	0.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-22	27	14.4	15.3	-0.85	18.4	15.6	2.79
Jordan Crawford	31	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-22	27	12.5	16.4	-3.85	16.1	16.3	-0.13
Mike Bibby	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-14	11	16.0	14.2	1.72	17.1	15.3	1.76
Al Horford	54	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-7	-3	15.4	14.7	0.66	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Josh Smith	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.20	-15	-2	-13	15.9	13.7	2.21	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Jeff Teague	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-11	5	13.9	16.1	-2.24	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Zaza Pachulia	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-12	7	14.6	15.6	-1.02	16.4	16.1	0.30
Josh Powell	41	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-7	-3	14.2	15.8	-1.58	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Joe Johnson	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	5	-27	16.5	12.8	3.66	16.2	16.2	0.02
Jamal Crawford	67	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.09	-24	7	-31	15.4	14.2	1.18	15.5	18.1	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 151, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 119, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 117, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%