NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	86		Excitement	4.2 [1009]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +25.6%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.4 [790]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (CHA): -6.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	70%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.08	0.02	13	87%	0.30	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	15	73%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	42%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	-0.08	16	36%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	29.4	16.7	29.2	2.4	30.3	133.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.3%

CHA -4.8%

DAL +2.0%

DAL +6.7%

CHA -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	13.8	15.5	90.5	106.3	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		102.3	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.1	15.2	15.4	18.5	16.5
DAL	12.9	14.2	14.0	14.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	29	32	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.23	14	-29	43	15.6	16.9	-1.26	15.9	12.7	3.19
Tyrus Thomas	57	60	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-25	35	16.3	16.7	-0.40	14.6	12.5	2.07
Shaun Livingston	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-18	21	18.2	15.8	2.36	13.8	13.8	-0.06
Derrick Brown	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-17	19	14.6	17.2	-2.57	13.9	13.8	0.13
Boris Diaw	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	4	-23	16.7	16.0	0.62	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Stephen Jackson	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	5	-25	16.3	16.9	-0.65	13.5	14.3	-0.78
D.J. Augustin	81	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.09	-21	6	-27	16.5	16.6	-0.17	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Gerald Wallace	88	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	1	-17	16.8	13.1	3.62	13.2	19.7	-6.46
Nazr Mohammed	37	35	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.14	-26	11	-37	17.0	16.2	0.78	13.0	14.3	-1.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	74	0.76	-0.26	1.03	-0.09	29	-14	43	12.9	16.6	-3.70	16.9	15.1	1.74
Jason Kidd	65	65	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.12	30	-15	45	13.2	15.2	-2.02	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	72	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.09	27	-12	39	12.8	17.0	-4.19	17.0	14.8	2.16
Caron Butler	66	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.11	25	-10	35	13.6	14.4	-0.85	17.4	14.5	2.85
Tyson Chandler	47	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	0	15	13.2	14.4	-1.25	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Brendan Haywood	41	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	15	-15	14.1	13.6	0.57	16.7	16.4	0.32
Brian Cardinal	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	16.3	13.7	2.59	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Ian Mahinmi	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	18.8	13.5	5.26	12.2	16.7	-4.43
Dominique Jones	16	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	25	-35	17.1	13.2	3.97	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Jose Juan Barea	38	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.27	-19	34	-53	15.3	12.9	2.40	16.2	16.7	-0.46
Shawn Marion	51	50	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.39	-24	39	-63	15.3	12.1	3.14	15.2	18.0	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHX 81, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.9%
BKN 109, IND 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%