NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	3.6 [1131]		MVP	James Jones (MIA): +17.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	1.1 [1144]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -17.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.21	0.01	0.05	10	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	20	58%	0.13	1	-0.00	12	75%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	12	53%	0.08	9	-0.13	6	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.00	0.10	10	70%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	0.02	9	33%	-0.09	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	31.5	15.6	27.3	2.4	27.6	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.8%

MIA +5.2%

PHI -5.8%

MIA +7.6%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.5	101.0	93.5	105.7
season	16.0	15.5		109.0	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.3	12.9	13.4	19.1	14.3
PHI	19.0	15.5	16.6	13.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	78	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-15	40	14.2	14.4	-0.20	16.6	14.8	1.81
Dwyane Wade	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	1	8	14.8	12.9	1.89	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Carlos Arroyo	56	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-7	24	14.6	13.9	0.70	16.7	15.5	1.19
LeBron James	74	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	4	2	13.7	16.2	-2.52	16.6	14.7	1.94
Joel Anthony	33	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	14.4	14.2	0.13	17.0	15.8	1.25
James Jones	61	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	13	-16	14.6	13.7	0.85	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	21	19	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	4	2	11.3	15.1	-3.77	16.5	16.1	0.38
Jerry Stackhouse	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	9	-8	15.4	14.2	1.25	16.4	16.2	0.20
Juwan Howard	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	17	-24	21.1	13.7	7.40	13.4	16.5	-3.12
Eddie House	43	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.28	-10	20	-30	14.8	13.8	0.96	15.4	16.9	-1.58
Udonis Haslem	26	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	12.5	15.0	-2.50	16.7	16.0	0.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-9	8	18.9	16.0	2.90	10.4	14.6	-4.26
Darius Songaila	11	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	-5	0	14.5	16.5	-1.91	11.4	14.7	-3.35
Lou Williams	63	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-17	24	15.9	16.9	-1.00	14.5	13.7	0.85
Evan Turner	60	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.26	5	-15	20	15.2	18.2	-2.98	15.0	13.1	1.84
Andres Nocioni	38	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-15	20	14.3	17.5	-3.19	15.3	13.5	1.83
Jason Kapono	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	17.7	15.7	1.99	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Thaddeus Young	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.5	15.9	0.67	12.9	16.0	-3.07
Spencer Hawes	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	1	-12	17.0	15.9	1.04	14.8	14.1	0.71
Jrue Holiday	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	15.9	16.5	-0.54	15.1	13.6	1.45
Elton Brand	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	16.6	15.4	1.13	15.1	12.7	2.39
Andre Iguodala	75	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	9	-28	17.2	12.3	4.90	13.8	16.4	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
CHH 105, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0	96.7%
PHI 101, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%