inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 98 Excitement3.9 [1016] MVPBrad Miller (CHI): +7.0%
Charlotte Bobcats 89 Comeback1.0 [584] LVPRaymond Felton (CHA): -11.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brad Miller0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.03955%0.0700.002100%0.01
Taj Gibson0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.00758%0.0700.00560%-0.01
Derrick Rose0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.03-0.00-0.031961%0.115-0.05683%0.00
Joakim Noah0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.001168%0.095-0.05978%-0.02
Ronald Murray0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.01-0.061141%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.030,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.001048%0.033-0.053100%0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.02757%-0.013-0.0500%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00845%0.0000.00475%0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.011354%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00865%0.094-0.107100%0.02
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.051252%0.001-0.02786%0.01
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.01920%-0.0700.002100%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.000.04844%-0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.01731%-0.063-0.06250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.730.214.824.22.332.8132.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +38.8%
CHA -0.6%
CHI +5.6%
CHI +5.2%
CHI +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHICHANBACHICHANBA
this game16.415.215.3107.797.8106.0
season14.716.2101.9103.0
opponent15.415.7101.8103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.516.817.518.316.4
CHA15.316.016.813.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller42430.460.040.420.2090916.716.10.5716.214.41.88
Derrick Rose81820.360.140.220.1381716.813.13.7114.720.2-5.53
Kirk Hinrich65650.340.160.180.1372516.316.6-0.2915.315.10.18
Ronald Murray43410.330.170.150.2145-116.716.10.5515.714.80.89
Joakim Noah73730.300.200.100.0681716.018.2-2.2615.115.8-0.67
Taj Gibson66650.240.26-0.020.0954116.815.41.3314.816.4-1.65
Luol Deng63650.200.30-0.090.2009-915.717.9-2.2014.816.4-1.65
James Johnson13120.190.31-0.110.0263311.317.3-5.9520.714.46.34
Jannero Pargo990.070.43-0.350.13-211-1323.615.67.9313.415.4-1.99

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Theo Ratliff2626-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-6318.014.13.9215.716.7-0.95
Boris Diaw4241-0.11-0.390.29-0.110-9915.814.71.1015.916.8-0.96
Tyson Chandler2323-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-5117.014.72.2913.917.3-3.40
Stephen Graham1011-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-3-319.514.74.7812.816.9-4.08
Stephen Jackson4646-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-6316.014.51.5315.317.5-2.23
Gerald Wallace4646-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-6316.014.51.5315.317.5-2.23
Raymond Felton4646-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-6316.014.51.5315.317.5-2.23
Gerald Henderson3534-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-9913.016.6-3.6019.114.84.23
Nazr Mohammed4141-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.25-2-7512.817.2-4.3918.015.12.90
Larry Hughes4545-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-6-3-314.516.0-1.5317.515.32.23
D.J. Augustin4545-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-6-3-314.516.0-1.5317.515.32.23
Tyrus Thomas5051-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-90-914.516.2-1.6917.015.61.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 101, POR 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.9%
TOR 106, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
ATL 95, MIL 800.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,095.3%