NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	113		Excitement	4.5 [904]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +15.4%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	4.0 [69]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -8.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.02	0.06	21	72%	0.17	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	16	74%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	7	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0.06	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	17	59%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	8	75%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.5	16.6	23.2	2.4	24.3	124.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.0%

NJN +0.6%

NJN +10.4%

NJN +0.1%

NJN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	14.0	15.3	122.8	101.1	106.0
season	15.9	14.7		98.7	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.2	14.1	15.4	20.9	17.3
NYK	12.7	15.9	14.0	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	58	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.33	32	-12	44	16.5	18.6	-2.15	14.5	13.2	1.30
Terrence Williams	61	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.35	30	-10	40	16.8	18.1	-1.26	14.4	13.4	0.98
Courtney Lee	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	6	8	17.6	15.0	2.63	13.7	16.1	-2.37
Devin Harris	62	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	3	14	16.2	19.4	-3.17	14.7	12.7	1.93
Brook Lopez	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	10	0	17.4	16.9	0.49	14.2	13.7	0.52
Chris Douglas-Roberts	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	10	0	15.5	18.2	-2.67	15.5	13.3	2.20
Kris Humphries	30	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	10	0	16.9	17.4	-0.49	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Keyon Dooling	30	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	17	-14	19.4	16.2	3.17	12.7	14.7	-1.93
Trenton Hassell	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.25	-10	30	-40	18.5	16.7	1.78	13.2	14.4	-1.14
Yi Jianlian	17	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.19	-16	36	-52	21.1	16.4	4.66	11.4	14.7	-3.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	50	51	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.03	5	-25	30	13.2	15.1	-1.94	20.1	13.7	6.37
David Lee	56	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-28	36	13.1	15.5	-2.39	18.7	15.0	3.71
Sergio Rodriguez	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-6	-8	13.7	14.4	-0.66	17.6	16.9	0.74
Jonathan Bender	6	6	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-11	2	19.0	13.7	5.30	14.2	17.5	-3.31
Tracy McGrady	44	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-14	8	14.4	13.7	0.66	16.9	17.6	-0.74
Henry Walker	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.29	-23	3	-26	14.4	13.5	0.93	15.6	19.6	-3.95
Al Harrington	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	0	-20	14.6	12.6	2.04	16.6	19.1	-2.52
Wilson Chandler	88	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	0	-20	14.0	14.0	0.05	17.2	17.7	-0.51
Eddie House	46	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	1	-22	14.2	13.8	0.39	15.6	18.8	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.9%
MIL 105, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
ATL 133, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%