NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	8.0 [228]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +34.4%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	13.4 [74]		LVP	Robin Lopez (PHX): -9.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.34	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.34	0.08	0.25	-0.01	17	55%	0.34	0	0.00	10	80%	0.06
Deron Williams	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.15	0.02	20	64%	0.30	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.01	9	71%	0.21	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	0.01	6	67%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Sundiata Gaines	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	44%	0.05	1	-0.10	8	37%	-0.06
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	0.01	14	69%	0.34	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	17	64%	0.20	2	-0.05	13	62%	-0.04
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.10	-0.02	9	68%	0.23	5	-0.10	7	71%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	42%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	11	61%	0.11	7	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.12	0.02	6	83%	0.07	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.4	37.0	18.8	32.1	3.6	37.8	161.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +4.5%

UTA +10.1%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +33.2%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.3	124.7	114.9	106.0
season	15.3	14.4		109.5	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.2	16.1	15.7	15.2	16.0
PHX	12.8	15.9	14.3	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	52	52	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.27	19	-11	30	15.0	17.4	-2.45	15.2	14.2	1.08
Mehmet Okur	63	61	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.37	13	-5	18	16.0	16.1	-0.03	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Andrei Kirilenko	52	55	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	1	6	16.1	16.0	0.12	14.7	14.8	-0.14
Deron Williams	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-1	10	16.5	13.9	2.64	15.4	12.3	3.08
Carlos Boozer	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	3	2	16.0	16.3	-0.33	14.4	16.6	-2.17
Sundiata Gaines	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	7	-6	12.7	16.5	-3.88	10.0	15.4	-5.40
Ronnie Price	5	7	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	10	-12	16.8	16.0	0.80	15.9	14.7	1.18
Kyle Korver	29	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	8	-8	17.6	15.3	2.24	17.2	13.7	3.44
Paul Millsap	41	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.18	-1	9	-10	16.1	16.0	0.05	15.1	14.5	0.56
Wesley Matthews	58	59	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.05	-11	19	-30	16.3	15.7	0.57	13.6	16.8	-3.20

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	27	28	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-8	8	17.3	13.8	3.50	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Jared Dudley	47	45	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.9	14.7	0.17	14.7	17.3	-2.58
Earl Clark	19	18	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-8	8	14.1	14.9	-0.83	14.9	16.3	-1.36
Robin Lopez	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	14.0	15.6	-1.69	16.6	15.5	1.07
Channing Frye	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	16.1	14.2	1.94	16.6	15.8	0.81
Grant Hill	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-4	0	14.7	15.0	-0.30	16.3	15.0	1.33
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	0	-8	14.3	18.0	-3.71	16.0	16.7	-0.72
Jason Richardson	75	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	0	-8	14.9	14.1	0.83	16.5	14.2	2.37
Steve Nash	70	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	2	-12	14.4	15.8	-1.43	16.5	14.6	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	92.9%
PHX 79, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	92.7%
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	92.6%