NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	1.7 [1303]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (GSW): +8.2%
Golden State Warriors	132		Comeback	1.0 [670]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -9.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	31%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.00	0.12	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	13	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	59%	0.00	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	9	59%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	0.00	0.09	13	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	12	19%	-0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.26	0.02	0.20	16	78%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	22	69%	0.14	6	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	5	85%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.07	16	70%	0.06	4	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	6	86%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.02	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	28.6	15.6	28.1	2.5	28.5	131.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.6%

GSW +1.9%

GSW +2.7%

GSW +1.3%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.6	13.0	15.3	105.2	134.7	106.0
season	15.5	13.4		101.9	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.2		110.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.8	14.9	17.2	16.3	16.6
GSW	10.2	13.9	11.6	16.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-27	24	14.7	17.2	-2.48	13.4	12.8	0.54
Bobby Brown	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-30	30	16.9	16.5	0.43	15.2	12.1	3.16
Mardy Collins	19	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.37	-17	-13	-4	15.7	16.8	-1.07	10.7	13.5	-2.74
Craig Smith	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-22	14	17.0	16.4	0.67	14.3	12.3	2.00
DeAndre Jordan	42	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	-14	-2	16.3	16.8	-0.55	12.4	13.4	-0.98
Baron Davis	49	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-17	4	16.8	16.4	0.32	12.5	13.5	-0.94
Marcus Camby	49	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-17	4	16.8	16.4	0.32	12.5	13.5	-0.94
Rasual Butler	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-17	4	17.2	15.4	1.78	12.4	14.1	-1.75
Chris Kaman	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	-11	-8	16.9	16.2	0.72	13.5	12.4	1.11
Eric Gordon	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.51	-28	-2	-26	16.0	17.6	-1.52	13.0	12.9	0.12
Al Thornton	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-10	-10	16.8	16.3	0.47	13.0	12.9	0.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	93	93	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.50	35	-5	40	13.0	12.2	0.80	16.6	15.5	1.15
CJ Watson	98	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	0	30	13.0	0.0	12.96	16.6	0.0	16.60
Anthony Morrow	98	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	0	30	13.0	0.0	12.96	16.6	0.0	16.60
Anthony Tolliver	93	92	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.32	27	3	24	13.2	9.4	3.75	16.6	16.4	0.21
Ronny Turiaf	53	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.42	25	5	20	12.8	13.2	-0.36	15.4	18.0	-2.60
Andris Biedrins	27	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.11	10	20	-10	11.5	13.5	-2.04	19.0	15.7	3.23
Devean George	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	32	-34	10.8	13.2	-2.40	16.0	16.7	-0.66
Chris Hunter	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	35	-40	15.7	12.3	3.32	16.6	16.6	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, ATL 136	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
SAS 74, SEA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%