NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	4.9 [816]		MVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): +10.0%
New Jersey Nets	77		Comeback	1.8 [803]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -15.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	89%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	22	49%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	0.01	0.10	13	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.02	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	17	61%	0.12	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	14	30%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.1	15.4	22.9	1.8	23.2	118.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.5%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +10.8%

MIL +16.1%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	15.3	109.0	86.5	106.0
season	15.5	15.9		103.3	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	13.3	17.6	15.9	15.3
NJN	17.2	16.0	17.6	17.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	62	64	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.07	23	-3	26	15.6	14.6	0.93	17.4	16.4	1.00
Jerry Stackhouse	59	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.19	27	-7	34	14.4	17.0	-2.64	17.8	15.6	2.16
Carlos Delfino	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.17	26	-6	32	15.9	14.2	1.71	17.8	15.7	2.05
Luke Ridnour	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	-2	24	15.0	15.9	-0.96	17.5	16.2	1.34
Ersan Ilyasova	42	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.25	22	-2	24	14.1	16.3	-2.16	18.2	16.2	1.99
Luc Mbah a Moute	40	42	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	20	-20	16.5	14.3	2.17	16.7	17.4	-0.69
Dan Gadzuric	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	15.3	15.3	0.01	13.0	17.4	-4.43
Jodie Meeks	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	15.3	15.3	0.01	13.0	17.4	-4.43
Brandon Jennings	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	26	-32	16.4	14.5	1.94	16.3	17.7	-1.38
Kurt Thomas	27	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	23	-26	14.6	15.6	-0.93	16.4	17.4	-1.00
Charlie Bell	46	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	27	-34	15.2	15.4	-0.27	15.9	18.2	-2.32

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	60	60	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-23	26	17.1	17.0	0.07	16.2	13.4	2.82
Tony Battie	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-23	26	18.3	17.0	1.35	15.8	15.2	0.59
Yi Jianlian	58	59	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.13	-3	-17	14	17.1	17.1	0.02	16.0	13.9	2.08
Chris Douglas-Roberts	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	13.0	17.4	-4.43	15.3	15.3	0.01
Devin Harris	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-10	0	17.4	16.2	1.25	15.4	15.0	0.38
Keyon Dooling	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-13	6	17.7	17.0	0.68	12.1	15.7	-3.64
Courtney Lee	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-13	6	17.2	16.8	0.38	15.8	13.9	1.92
Terrence Williams	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-12	4	16.9	17.1	-0.22	14.7	15.5	-0.73
Chris Quinn	17	17	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-10	0	15.2	17.5	-2.28	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Brook Lopez	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-5	-10	16.7	18.4	-1.71	15.4	14.9	0.49
Trenton Hassell	26	26	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	1	-22	17.0	17.1	-0.11	13.7	16.0	-2.30
Kris Humphries	37	36	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	0.11	-27	7	-34	18.3	16.2	2.13	13.8	16.3	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
PHI 87, MIL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 107, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%