inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 106 Excitement8.5 [166] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +45.9%
Charlotte Bobcats 95 Comeback1.1 [571] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -19.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.460,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.460.160.27-0.031281%0.471-0.012100%0.03
Vince Carter0.220,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.030.17-0.021657%0.262-0.04560%-0.01
Matt Barnes0.110,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.06-0.021150%0.1100.00475%-0.00
JJ Redick0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.040.00575%0.1100.00250%-0.02
Jason Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00538%0.0000.003100%0.01
Marcin Gortat-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.01530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.040.061750%-0.032-0.062100%0.03
Dwight Howard-0.190,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.14-0.050.001138%-0.036-0.16450%-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.410.170.260.021476%0.431-0.021100%0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.080.12-0.051135%0.122-0.024100%0.06
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.003100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.130.230.021836%0.163-0.08650%-0.04
Derrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.020.02957%0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.021544%0.011-0.03250%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00636%-0.012-0.062100%0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.08-0.03935%-0.072-0.052100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.630.216.025.22.645.01.612.0157.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +4.0%
ORL +4.6%
ORL +14.5%
ORL +16.8%
ORL +10.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHANBAORLCHANBA
this game15.517.015.3107.197.9106.0
season15.416.2110.1103.0
opponent15.415.9101.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.115.314.417.115.615.5
CHA14.920.616.916.416.017.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Barnes62610.51-0.010.53-0.1021-103114.816.7-1.9216.218.4-2.22
Dwight Howard91900.420.080.340.1692715.713.42.2817.017.0-0.01
Vince Carter78760.410.090.320.1592715.614.90.7816.219.9-3.66
Rashard Lewis81780.390.110.280.1583515.316.4-1.1916.519.2-2.70
Jameer Nelson74720.370.130.240.1092715.415.8-0.4416.518.3-1.74
Jason Williams25250.130.37-0.240.0729-715.815.40.4418.316.51.74
Ryan Anderson18180.110.39-0.280.0529-716.415.31.1919.916.33.63
JJ Redick27280.110.39-0.280.26-516-2116.915.01.8918.116.51.57
Marcin Gortat870.080.42-0.340.0229-713.415.7-2.2817.017.00.01
Mickael Pietrus3130-0.030.53-0.570.02-213-1515.315.6-0.2719.216.03.25

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronald Murray29280.15-0.650.80-0.088-192719.615.93.7017.614.62.92
D.J. Augustin5253-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-121317.716.21.5616.114.81.33
Derrick Brown1616-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-8519.116.62.5615.215.5-0.34
Boris Diaw7275-0.13-0.370.240.10-8-3-516.319.1-2.8214.718.0-3.33
DeSagana Diop3937-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-141717.716.51.1317.714.13.60
Nazr Mohammed4446-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-121-1317.416.60.7714.816.1-1.33
Stephen Jackson8386-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.17-10-1-916.321.4-5.1015.416.2-0.87
Gerald Wallace9193-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.14-121-1316.918.5-1.6115.515.7-0.20
Raymond Felton5961-0.700.20-0.90-0.06-2211-3315.818.8-3.0014.417.2-2.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.25,0.04,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 112, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.07,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.03,0,090.7%
IND 115, OKC 1110.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.07,0.21,0.33,0.26,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.02,090.2%
LAL 123, LAC 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.22,0.28,090.0%