inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 89 Excitement3.3 [1114] MVPMarvin Williams (ATL): +9.3%
Atlanta Hawks 103 Comeback1.1 [921] LVPBoris Diaw (CHA): -12.7%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeSagana Diop0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.002100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.031100%0.0100.002100%0.00
Gerald Henderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,00.02-0.010.02747%-0.0000.00367%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.02750%-0.0200.00475%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.09-0.010.111268%0.053-0.071362%-0.05
Raymond Felton-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01950%-0.013-0.044100%0.01
Stephen Jackson-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.012055%0.067-0.13475%-0.00
Boris Diaw-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.0150%-0.082-0.0500%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.01-0.061354%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.011762%0.093-0.043100%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.02-0.01-0.041749%0.081-0.035100%0.02
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00654%0.0400.001100%0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.20-0.050.141289%0.032-0.023100%-0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randolph Morris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.030.031064%0.034-0.082100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.427.215.632.42.628.5135.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +27.1%
ATL +9.2%
ATL +5.4%
ATL +7.4%
ATL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAATLNBACHAATLNBA
this game16.516.615.3101.1119.8106.0
season16.216.0103.0109.4
opponent15.815.4106.0101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA20.216.317.013.116.5
ATL15.818.914.317.616.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronald Murray50480.12-0.620.74-0.2914-284215.018.6-3.6217.315.61.70
DeSagana Diop26260.10-0.600.69-0.024-182215.616.9-1.2917.316.31.04
Gerald Henderson66-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-131212.716.8-4.1419.816.33.50
Derrick Brown2522-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-192414.217.4-3.1918.316.02.33
Stephen Graham1415-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-141413.217.1-3.9316.716.60.10
D.J. Augustin4039-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-121016.216.8-0.5517.515.91.61
Raymond Felton1919-0.30-0.20-0.090.17-162-1821.015.35.7115.316.9-1.62
Stephen Jackson7372-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.07-13-1-1216.616.20.3916.517.1-0.67
Gerald Wallace8280-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-13-1-1216.812.74.1416.319.8-3.50
Nazr Mohammed4142-0.560.06-0.620.12-239-3217.815.42.4015.517.6-2.02
Boris Diaw6461-0.730.23-0.960.00-2511-3617.713.44.2715.718.7-3.02

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams57580.58-0.080.66-0.0120-62615.818.0-2.1917.414.82.56
Joe Johnson64640.52-0.020.55-0.1222-83016.716.40.2917.414.23.24
Al Horford76770.480.020.460.0116-21816.815.21.5616.417.4-0.96
Josh Smith70720.460.040.41-0.0417-32016.516.7-0.2116.914.92.01
Mike Bibby52510.320.180.14-0.00113816.616.50.1317.415.32.07
Jamal Crawford53560.070.43-0.350.13-216-1817.515.22.3214.819.6-4.83
Jeff Teague21210.040.46-0.420.19-519-2416.316.7-0.3914.917.0-2.19
Maurice Evans26290.010.49-0.470.22-721-2816.816.50.3214.917.3-2.37
Zaza Pachulia10110.010.49-0.480.07-216-1815.216.8-1.5617.416.40.96
Randolph Morris110.000.50-0.500.00014-147.016.7-9.6918.016.51.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 91, UTA 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
TOR 64, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
SAC 83, SAS 1010.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%