NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	112		Excitement	2.6 [1231]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +11.2%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	1.0 [907]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -10.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	0.00	0.08	19	74%	0.16	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	82%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.04	2	-0.00	10	80%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	45%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	10	65%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	14	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	26.2	17.4	24.4	2.5	26.0	123.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +56.0%

WAS -6.5%

MIA +3.4%

WAS -5.0%

MIA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	WAS	NBA	MIA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.3	128.7	98.9	106.0
season	16.2	15.7		104.4	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.4	14.9	17.4	19.7	15.9
WAS	18.1	16.4	14.7	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	45	46	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	4	16	16.9	14.9	1.98	17.1	16.5	0.62
Rafer Alston	63	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.37	26	-2	28	15.4	17.2	-1.82	16.1	18.6	-2.46
Dwyane Wade	63	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.37	26	-2	28	15.4	17.2	-1.82	16.1	18.6	-2.46
Udonis Haslem	37	36	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	10	4	15.9	15.9	0.03	17.4	16.4	0.96
Quentin Richardson	40	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	13	-2	14.2	17.4	-3.11	16.7	16.9	-0.22
Michael Beasley	64	67	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.20	14	10	4	16.3	15.0	1.32	17.8	13.7	4.12
Dorell Wright	47	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	11	2	17.4	14.2	3.11	16.9	16.7	0.22
Mario Chalmers	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	26	-28	17.2	15.4	1.82	18.6	16.1	2.46
Jermaine O'Neal	42	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	20	-16	14.9	16.9	-1.98	16.5	17.1	-0.62
Carlos Arroyo	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	16.8	15.9	0.92	12.2	17.1	-4.86
James Jones	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	16.8	15.9	0.92	12.2	17.1	-4.86

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	16.6	16.8	-0.18	17.6	15.8	1.78
Fabricio Oberto	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-20	16	15.5	17.1	-1.55	18.8	15.2	3.52
Earl Boykins	42	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-23	22	17.2	16.4	0.76	17.1	14.8	2.25
Nick Young	29	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-19	14	18.9	15.8	3.08	17.6	15.2	2.46
JaVale McGee	15	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	-16	8	18.4	16.5	1.94	17.2	15.7	1.53
DeShawn Stevenson	24	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-19	14	17.3	16.6	0.69	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Antawn Jamison	54	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-22	20	16.5	17.2	-0.68	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Andray Blatche	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-9	-6	16.5	17.4	-0.87	16.7	14.4	2.28
Brendan Haywood	34	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-5	-14	17.6	16.3	1.39	13.9	17.1	-3.25
Randy Foye	58	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	-6	-12	15.7	18.8	-3.10	14.8	18.2	-3.41
Caron Butler	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-4	-16	15.9	19.0	-3.02	15.0	18.6	-3.58
Mike Miller	42	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	-4	-16	17.5	16.2	1.31	16.8	15.0	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.4%
SEA 114, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CLE 105, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%