NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	8.9 [133]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +74.0%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	35.5 [8]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): -14.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.74	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.45,0.39,0.54,0.64,0.74,0.74	0.26	0.48	0.00	24	77%	0.96	4	-0.22	5	40%	-0.10
Danilo Gallinari	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	6	93%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	19	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	16	38%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	14	34%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	14	76%	0.21	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.13	0.00	30	46%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	62%	0.29	3	-0.20	11	73%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	12	17%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.0	14.8	22.8	1.6	31.2	1.5	12.5	140.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.1%

NYK +13.1%

ATL -4.2%

ATL -7.6%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	17.1	15.3	116.7	112.5	106.0
season	14.7	16.0		105.9	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	17.5	16.2	19.1	12.4	14.7	16.1
ATL	14.6	16.5	16.9	20.5	16.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	70	70	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-14	32	15.1	18.7	-3.54	17.3	16.4	0.92
Al Harrington	68	67	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.35	16	-12	28	14.7	19.3	-4.59	16.8	17.7	-0.91
Danilo Gallinari	77	79	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-4	12	16.0	16.5	-0.57	17.4	15.6	1.78
Wilson Chandler	87	87	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-5	14	16.0	16.9	-0.90	17.0	17.6	-0.56
Jared Jeffries	49	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	8	-12	16.4	15.8	0.60	18.9	15.3	3.61
Marcus Landry	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	16.9	16.0	0.90	17.6	17.0	0.56
Chris Duhon	48	48	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.03	-15	19	-34	17.8	14.3	3.48	16.5	17.6	-1.15
David Lee	62	64	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.10	-11	15	-26	17.4	13.6	3.76	15.8	19.6	-3.77

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	46	47	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-6	8	17.5	16.6	0.90	16.2	15.9	0.32
Zaza Pachulia	15	16	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-5	6	17.7	16.9	0.81	15.4	16.2	-0.84
Jeff Teague	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-5	6	19.9	16.8	3.03	17.4	16.0	1.42
Maurice Evans	34	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	5	-14	16.9	17.1	-0.17	14.9	16.6	-1.66
Mike Bibby	63	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-4	4	17.1	16.9	0.22	16.5	15.1	1.37
Joe Johnson	81	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-3	2	16.3	21.2	-4.92	16.4	14.3	2.06
Josh Smith	91	90	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.42	-4	0	-4	17.2	14.4	2.80	16.1	16.0	0.08
Al Horford	86	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	16.8	19.4	-2.62	16.2	15.0	1.20
Marvin Williams	57	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	17.4	16.5	0.87	15.4	17.0	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,0	91.4%
MIA 97, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.27,0	90.9%
CHI 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.1,0.05,0	90.6%