NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	111		Excitement	11.5 [18]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +46.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	7.6 [174]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -23.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.17	0.01	6	73%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.07
Caron Butler	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.18	0.01	18	57%	0.29	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.08
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.17
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.09	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	0.02	-0.22	-0.02	22	48%	-0.15	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.05
Earl Boykins	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	7	0%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23	0.04	-0.26	0.01	26	56%	-0.10	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.47	0.47	0.02	0.45	0.00	17	53%	0.55	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.27
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	12	71%	0.23	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.04	15	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.11	-0.02	24	54%	0.03	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.5	16.4	26.2	2.5	43.2	2.4	17.2	161.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.5%

MEM +24.6%

WAS -19.4%

WAS -0.4%

MEM +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.3	106.7	109.4	106.0
season	15.7	15.4		102.6	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.6	14.1	15.4	13.3	13.6	14.2
MEM	15.4	17.2	15.2	16.1	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	87	88	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.21	8	-13	21	14.3	14.1	0.23	16.4	14.3	2.03
Dominic McGuire	7	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-2	-1	15.6	14.2	1.42	13.0	16.3	-3.27
Nick Young	37	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-5	5	15.8	13.4	2.42	14.3	16.9	-2.64
Gilbert Arenas	90	92	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-11	17	14.1	15.4	-1.36	16.4	13.8	2.57
DeShawn Stevenson	3	3	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.3	-0.94	11.7	16.1	-4.48
Randy Foye	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	13.3	14.9	-1.62	16.8	15.4	1.42
Andray Blatche	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	0	-5	14.4	14.1	0.32	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Earl Boykins	33	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	3	-11	14.3	14.2	0.12	16.2	15.9	0.32
Caron Butler	97	98	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.41	-2	-3	1	14.2	15.6	-1.42	16.3	13.0	3.27
Antawn Jamison	81	84	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	8	-21	14.1	14.7	-0.63	15.8	16.9	-1.07

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	90	89	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-1	7	16.4	13.7	2.75	13.7	17.3	-3.60
O.J. Mayo	95	94	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	15.5	20.5	-5.05	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	30	30	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	0	5	16.2	15.9	0.30	14.3	14.2	0.12
DeMarre Carroll	54	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-3	11	15.5	16.5	-0.98	14.4	14.1	0.23
Hasheem Thabeet	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	-2	9	14.9	16.6	-1.67	16.1	13.4	2.69
Sam Young	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	16.5	15.5	0.98	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Zach Randolph	88	86	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	8	-11	16.0	15.9	0.09	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Mike Conley	79	76	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	9	-13	16.4	15.0	1.42	14.2	14.4	-0.24
Marcus Williams	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	6	-7	17.9	15.9	2.01	14.6	14.2	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.83,0.68,0.63,0.91,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.84,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.74,1	89.9%
CLE 101, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.99,1	89.7%
BKN 111, CHA 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.69,1	89.1%