NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	81		Excitement	4.2 [965]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +18.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	116		Comeback	1.4 [796]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (TOR): -14.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	35%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	14	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Antoine Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	6	50%	0.02	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	9	11%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	20	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.03
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	9	68%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	18	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	0.06	9	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.7	29.1	15.4	26.6	2.4	30.6	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.7%

CHA +8.7%

CHA +13.5%

CHA +8.2%

CHA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.3	83.5	118.4	106.0
season	15.0	16.2		109.6	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.6	14.0	13.8	14.0	14.1
CHA	16.7	16.0	13.9	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	23	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.47	-17	-18	1	13.5	14.3	-0.74	13.0	16.3	-3.29
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.40	-15	-20	5	14.3	14.0	0.26	15.1	15.6	-0.42
Marco Belinelli	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.45	-21	-14	-7	14.2	13.9	0.28	16.2	14.7	1.47
Jarrett Jack	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-29	23	14.5	13.8	0.66	16.0	15.1	0.93
Antoine Wright	23	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-27	19	13.4	14.3	-0.91	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Amir Johnson	47	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.50	-24	-11	-13	14.5	13.7	0.83	14.4	16.5	-2.12
DeMar DeRozan	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.48	-25	-10	-15	14.0	14.2	-0.13	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Hedo Turkoglu	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-26	17	14.7	13.6	1.11	16.6	14.6	1.98
Andrea Bargnani	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-19	3	13.8	14.5	-0.70	15.9	14.8	1.12
Chris Bosh	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-20	5	14.0	14.3	-0.39	16.0	14.5	1.50
Jose Calderon	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	-16	-3	13.8	14.6	-0.76	15.4	15.6	-0.21

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	8	19	14.9	17.0	-2.03	13.9	14.6	-0.75
Stephen Jackson	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.16	20	15	5	15.2	16.3	-1.12	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Raymond Felton	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	20	-5	15.6	15.3	0.28	14.2	14.0	0.19
Tyson Chandler	46	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.22	18	17	1	14.2	16.6	-2.40	14.4	13.8	0.62
Boris Diaw	40	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	26	-17	17.2	14.2	3.00	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Ronald Murray	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	26	-17	15.2	15.6	-0.36	13.5	14.4	-0.88
D.J. Augustin	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	25	-15	14.7	15.8	-1.13	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Nazr Mohammed	36	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.32	15	20	-5	16.4	14.9	1.44	14.7	13.8	0.91
Gerald Henderson	46	46	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.47	18	17	1	16.1	14.9	1.16	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Derrick Brown	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.31	12	23	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.5	13.8	0.80
Stephen Graham	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	24	-13	16.0	15.4	0.60	16.1	13.9	2.23
Acie Law	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	24	-13	16.7	15.3	1.34	16.3	13.9	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 79, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
VAN 84, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 90, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%