inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 84 Excitement3.3 [1107] MVPKeith Bogans (SAS): +6.1%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.3 [1074] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -8.7%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01456%0.031-0.011100%0.01
JaVale McGee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05464%0.0000.003100%0.00
Dominic McGuire0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.000,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.011245%-0.0000.00956%-0.02
Mike Miller-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.000100%0.021-0.032100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.0540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.011037%-0.041-0.00475%-0.01
Andray Blatche-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.05822%-0.031-0.0220%0.00
Randy Foye-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.031038%-0.0600.006100%0.01
Gilbert Arenas-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.010.031844%-0.013-0.06560%-0.00
Caron Butler-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.020.01940%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Bogans0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.03489%0.0600.001100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.01-0.061549%0.073-0.025100%0.02
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01475%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05867%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.021067%0.072-0.044100%0.01
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.041035%0.0200.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02362%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Malik Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05330%0.0010.00425%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.08-0.000.10869%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.03-0.010.101352%-0.061-0.013100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.429.415.427.52.526.3127.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +37.9%
WAS -3.0%
SAS +10.1%
SAS +5.3%
WAS -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASSASNBAWASSASNBA
this game14.515.915.387.5112.8106.0
season15.715.9102.6108.2
opponent15.115.3103.4107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.815.714.514.014.5
SAS15.714.915.617.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominic McGuire1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-232414.714.50.2117.115.71.41
JaVale McGee3028-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-212012.815.2-2.4417.215.31.99
Earl Boykins4038-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-222213.515.2-1.7216.815.21.66
Fabricio Oberto1920-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-232416.514.02.5516.615.61.01
Mike Miller1514-0.05-0.450.390.01-2-201813.714.6-0.9616.515.70.76
DeShawn Stevenson1819-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-4-181415.414.31.1915.016.1-1.07
Andray Blatche5050-0.14-0.360.21-0.09-2-201813.615.4-1.7516.714.81.90
Randy Foye5253-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-15-7-815.213.61.5616.215.40.73
Antawn Jamison6463-0.41-0.09-0.310.27-231-2415.013.51.5215.316.9-1.52
Brendan Haywood4746-0.44-0.06-0.380.20-220-2214.714.20.4814.717.0-2.35
Caron Butler6663-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-20-2-1814.614.20.3615.416.7-1.33
Gilbert Arenas6764-0.48-0.02-0.460.20-231-2414.414.6-0.1015.117.4-2.32

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker63660.60-0.100.69-0.3131-94014.817.9-3.0614.714.10.55
Tim Duncan54550.410.090.32-0.151931614.817.3-2.5214.714.20.50
Antonio McDyess28300.340.160.17-0.10157815.516.0-0.4516.113.72.41
Keith Bogans33370.290.210.08-0.211751214.716.5-1.8313.715.0-1.26
Richard Jefferson60580.230.27-0.05-0.101111016.514.71.7914.414.6-0.21
Matt Bonner42420.230.27-0.05-0.071012-216.015.80.1813.914.9-0.98
Michael Finley33340.210.29-0.08-0.17139415.016.3-1.3114.814.30.44
George Hill49490.180.32-0.140.12220-1815.716.0-0.2415.013.91.15
Theo Ratliff40420.050.45-0.400.02121-2017.314.82.5214.214.7-0.47
DeJuan Blair12120.000.50-0.500.03-123-2417.115.71.4114.714.50.21
Malik Hairston11100.000.50-0.500.15-527-3217.215.71.5114.114.5-0.42
Roger Mason Jr.4545-0.030.53-0.550.06-325-2817.514.43.1013.615.3-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 103, DEN 1280.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
CLE 80, CHI 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SAS 68, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%