NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	8.1 [213]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +33.2%
New Orleans Hornets	110		Comeback	3.2 [141]		LVP	Bobby Brown (NOH): -13.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.06	-0.01	7	106%	0.28	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	12	68%	0.27	5	-0.13	10	70%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	12	46%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	14	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.04	10	59%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	15	34%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.22	0.03	19	66%	0.36	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.11	-0.03	15	42%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.05
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	12	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	1	117%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	17	51%	0.15	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	11	25%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.5	32.3	20.4	27.4	3.5	39.2	150.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +0.1%

NOH +11.1%

NOH +44.1%

PHX -12.4%

NOH +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	13.8	17.3	15.3	110.8	119.6	106.0
season	14.4	15.5		113.5	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	13.5	14.1	15.3	13.8
NOH	15.6	19.2	17.2	17.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	35	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-9	11	13.3	14.2	-0.86	17.8	17.0	0.82
Goran Dragic	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-8	9	13.7	13.9	-0.20	20.6	16.1	4.49
Lou Amundson	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	12.2	14.0	-1.85	17.3	17.3	0.03
Jarron Collins	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-2	-3	13.6	13.9	-0.28	18.1	17.2	0.89
Channing Frye	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-4	1	13.6	14.2	-0.65	16.0	19.4	-3.38
Jason Richardson	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-6	5	14.5	12.6	1.87	17.7	16.6	1.09
Jared Dudley	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-5	3	13.8	13.9	-0.09	18.1	16.3	1.77
Steve Nash	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	13.9	13.7	0.20	16.1	20.6	-4.49
Grant Hill	64	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	1	-9	14.0	13.4	0.58	17.2	17.6	-0.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	4	-15	13.9	13.5	0.39	17.2	17.8	-0.56

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-6	19	16.5	19.6	-3.07	14.0	13.3	0.75
Emeka Okafor	70	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-5	17	16.9	18.7	-1.81	13.6	14.9	-1.30
David West	53	53	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-7	21	17.5	17.1	0.44	14.9	12.5	2.37
Peja Stojakovic	66	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-1	9	17.9	15.7	2.19	14.3	12.8	1.45
Darren Collison	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	6	-5	18.5	15.4	3.07	14.9	12.1	2.74
Marcus Thornton	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	9	-11	17.2	17.4	-0.12	12.7	14.8	-2.16
Bobby Brown	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	6	-5	18.5	17.0	1.53	14.5	13.7	0.81
Darius Songaila	50	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	13	-19	16.6	18.2	-1.63	12.3	15.7	-3.39
James Posey	33	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	13	-19	16.8	17.6	-0.85	13.3	14.1	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.73,1	91.3%
NOK 93, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.99,1	90.9%
CHH 93, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.55,0.91,0.96,1	90.4%