NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	1.8 [1293]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +15.8%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.1 [1013]		LVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): -6.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.00	0.02	14	79%	0.16	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	9	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	8	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	15	61%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	58%	0.02	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.01	0.08	17	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	60%	-0.00	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	70%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.01	4	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	65%	0.01	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	14	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	26.2	15.4	25.7	2.6	29.0	127.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.7%

PHI +4.8%

PHI +0.1%

PHI +7.2%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.5	115.5	103.1	106.4
season	15.5	15.0		105.3	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		112.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.7	15.5	14.2	17.3	14.8
SAC	15.0	17.2	13.0	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	5	2	14.5	15.9	-1.40	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Thaddeus Young	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-4	20	14.6	15.4	-0.82	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Andre Miller	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	-4	20	14.6	15.2	-0.59	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Samuel Dalembert	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	0	12	13.8	16.3	-2.44	14.0	16.2	-2.24
Willie Green	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	0	12	13.3	16.5	-3.23	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Lou Williams	47	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	12	-12	16.5	13.3	3.23	15.9	13.9	1.96
Marreese Speights	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	14	-16	15.7	14.2	1.54	15.7	14.3	1.34
Reggie Evans	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	14	-16	16.2	14.3	1.92	16.7	14.2	2.44
Royal Ivey	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	16	-20	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.0	14.8	0.24
Kareem Rush	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	7	-2	15.9	14.5	1.40	15.0	14.8	0.18

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-14	16	11.0	14.9	-3.95	21.0	14.7	6.31
Will Solomon	14	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-5	-2	17.1	14.5	2.66	12.8	15.1	-2.27
Donte Greene	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-10	8	15.5	14.4	1.08	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Rashad McCants	49	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-13	14	14.8	14.9	-0.14	15.4	14.2	1.26
Jason Thompson	57	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	7	-26	14.8	14.9	-0.06	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Beno Udrih	73	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	14.3	16.6	-2.28	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Kevin Martin	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	14.5	16.4	-1.94	15.0	14.2	0.74
Francisco Garcia	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-1	-10	15.1	13.7	1.41	15.0	14.1	0.91
Spencer Hawes	90	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-4	-4	14.9	14.0	0.93	14.8	15.0	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
ORL 109, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
BOS 111, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%