NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	5.9 [660]		MVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): +12.4%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	1.3 [763]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -10.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	12	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Solomon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	18	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Donte Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	14	56%	0.10	6	-0.17	15	73%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	11	46%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	12	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.02	5	82%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	21	55%	0.13	1	-0.01	13	92%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	10	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	10	60%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	30.0	15.4	26.4	2.7	42.2	140.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +47.4%

WAS +1.0%

SAC -4.6%

WAS +4.7%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.5	108.3	109.3	106.4
season	15.0	15.9		104.0	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		111.7	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	13.9	14.5	14.8	14.8
WAS	12.3	16.1	17.5	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-2	2	15.2	14.7	0.57	15.8	14.8	1.01
Rashad McCants	21	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	13.6	15.1	-1.53	16.4	14.7	1.79
Beno Udrih	57	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-13	24	14.2	15.8	-1.61	16.1	13.5	2.52
Will Solomon	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	0	-2	15.7	14.5	1.17	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Kevin Martin	81	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	14.3	17.7	-3.38	14.7	16.8	-2.05
Andres Nocioni	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.1	-0.48	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Spencer Hawes	80	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-5	8	14.8	14.7	0.08	14.5	17.8	-3.28
Jason Thompson	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	12	-26	15.3	13.5	1.81	15.4	14.0	1.36
Francisco Garcia	58	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	7	-16	15.7	13.5	2.17	14.3	16.2	-1.83

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	49	47	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	15.7	14.4	1.30	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Andray Blatche	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-10	22	14.5	16.4	-1.96	15.7	12.5	3.21
Juan Dixon	36	36	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-5	12	15.5	14.8	0.75	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Antawn Jamison	85	83	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.44	-4	6	-10	14.7	17.2	-2.53	14.5	16.6	-2.09
Dominic McGuire	81	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.44	-5	7	-12	14.7	16.7	-2.06	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Javaris Crittenton	26	27	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	2	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.52	17.0	14.0	3.04
Darius Songaila	53	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	2	-2	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Mike James	63	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	8	-14	14.7	15.6	-0.81	14.8	14.8	-0.05
JaVale McGee	23	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	2	-2	17.6	14.2	3.32	13.8	15.2	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.89,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.99,1	93.8%
LAC 100, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.3%
CHI 76, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%