NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	3.6 [1088]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): +12.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	1.0 [1155]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -10.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	16	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	8	57%	-0.02	2	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.03	6	-0.13	8	87%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	13	83%	0.13	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	75%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	17	52%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	6	31%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	28.6	15.7	27.1	2.4	29.6	130.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.6%

WAS -3.0%

MIL +6.4%

MIL +7.7%

MIL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.5	102.2	121.1	106.4
season	15.9	15.0		103.5	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.6	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.9	16.2	17.5	13.0	15.9
MIL	14.4	14.4	17.6	17.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	10.7	16.1	-5.39	20.7	15.8	4.89
JaVale McGee	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-14	12	15.6	16.0	-0.41	15.1	16.3	-1.17
Darius Songaila	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-8	0	17.7	15.0	2.67	16.1	15.9	0.18
Nick Young	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	14.3	17.5	-3.18	16.7	15.1	1.54
Andray Blatche	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	15.3	16.4	-1.14	16.4	15.5	0.91
Juan Dixon	39	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.9	15.8	0.12	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Mike James	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-8	0	16.0	15.6	0.41	16.1	15.7	0.34
Caron Butler	76	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-6	-4	16.0	15.3	0.65	16.1	15.4	0.73
Dominic McGuire	59	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	1	-18	16.4	14.9	1.45	15.5	16.7	-1.18
Antawn Jamison	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-3	-10	16.1	14.7	1.37	15.6	17.6	-2.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	2	12	15.7	16.5	-0.82	16.6	14.3	2.25
Charlie Bell	63	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	3	10	16.6	14.4	2.25	15.2	17.2	-2.02
Charlie Villanueva	53	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.23	20	-4	24	14.5	18.0	-3.44	16.5	14.9	1.64
Richard Jefferson	72	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	10	-4	16.1	15.2	0.97	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	8	0	15.6	16.5	-0.88	16.2	15.3	0.90
Dan Gadzuric	41	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	8	0	15.8	16.1	-0.26	16.0	15.8	0.14
Luke Ridnour	39	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	15	-14	16.4	15.6	0.78	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Francisco Elson	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	12	-8	14.9	16.4	-1.55	17.1	15.3	1.80
Malik Allen	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	12	-8	17.7	15.4	2.32	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Keith Bogans	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	16	-16	17.5	15.6	1.94	13.3	16.5	-3.17
Damon Jones	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	20.5	15.8	4.66	11.0	16.0	-4.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 77, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
UTA 88, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 86, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%