NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	7.8 [277]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +52.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	3.7 [578]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -40.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	19	66%	0.28	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.06,0.13	-0.10	0.18	-0.05	17	44%	0.29	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	5	70%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	5	79%	0.20	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.41	-0.11	-0.28	0.01	14	45%	-0.13	6	-0.28	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.35,0.53	0.53	0.06	0.47	-0.00	12	58%	0.56	1	-0.03	7	57%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.13	0.02	11	86%	0.31	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.01	7	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	17	35%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	28.1	15.5	22.4	1.7	41.0	137.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.7%

PHI +0.8%

MEM -30.7%

PHI +56.9%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.7	15.5	98.9	104.6	106.4
season	16.1	15.5		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.3		105.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.8	18.9	16.4	18.0	17.2
PHI	14.2	17.1	15.5	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	30	30	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-11	18	17.2	17.2	0.04	17.0	15.1	1.88
Marko Jaric	17	17	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.04	2	-6	8	19.9	16.5	3.36	19.9	14.7	5.15
Quinton Ross	46	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-9	14	17.3	17.1	0.19	17.4	13.8	3.63
Darius Miles	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-2	0	19.0	17.0	1.99	19.2	15.4	3.87
Hakim Warrick	80	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-4	4	17.1	17.7	-0.64	15.4	19.2	-3.87
Greg Buckner	58	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	4	-12	17.2	17.1	0.11	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Mike Conley	71	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	2	-8	16.5	19.9	-3.36	14.7	19.9	-5.15
O.J. Mayo	73	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.46	-7	3	-10	17.0	18.1	-1.16	14.7	20.2	-5.46
Marc Gasol	58	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	7	-18	17.2	17.2	-0.04	15.1	17.0	-1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	79	79	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.43	12	-8	20	15.4	19.2	-3.87	17.5	14.7	2.79
Andre Miller	70	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-4	12	15.0	18.6	-3.62	17.0	17.7	-0.66
Samuel Dalembert	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.61	0	4	-4	15.4	16.4	-0.96	17.2	17.1	0.11
Thaddeus Young	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	7	-10	14.9	17.8	-2.84	16.7	18.1	-1.41
Theo Ratliff	19	18	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	-7	18	14.5	16.1	-1.61	16.2	17.4	-1.19
Marreese Speights	26	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	-2	8	17.4	15.0	2.35	17.8	16.9	0.93
Royal Ivey	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	7	-10	16.4	15.4	1.02	17.6	17.0	0.59
Lou Williams	38	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	3	-2	17.3	14.5	2.85	18.0	16.5	1.51
Willie Green	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	4	-4	15.2	16.1	-0.93	16.3	17.8	-1.46
Reggie Evans	17	19	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.13	-12	16	-28	19.7	14.8	4.93	17.0	17.2	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 88, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.74,1	92.0%
UTA 86, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	91.1%
SEA 106, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.73,1	90.1%