NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	1.7 [571]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +20.7%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	2.1 [579]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -12.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	17	67%	0.23	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	19	55%	0.09	1	-0.01	11	64%	-0.08
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,0,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	19	57%	0.18	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	12	73%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	17	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	9	68%	0.05	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	31.0	16.8	28.4	2.6	32.2	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +7.6%

NYK -6.0%

PHI +24.8%

PHI +26.3%

NYK -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	15.5	108.1	101.0	106.4
season	15.5	13.8		105.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		109.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.2	15.4	14.3	16.6	15.9
NYK	12.8	13.3	15.1	13.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	78	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.17	20	-10	30	15.8	16.2	-0.41	14.1	12.0	2.00
Andre Iguodala	87	85	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-7	24	15.5	18.8	-3.37	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Thaddeus Young	82	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-4	18	16.0	15.1	0.91	13.6	13.6	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	53	49	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	15.1	16.8	-1.67	14.2	13.0	1.20
Willie Green	40	37	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-2	14	15.0	16.5	-1.50	13.8	13.5	0.29
Lou Williams	59	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	12	-14	16.5	15.0	1.50	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Marreese Speights	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	16	-22	16.6	15.3	1.34	13.5	13.8	-0.33
Reggie Evans	23	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	15	-20	16.9	15.6	1.36	13.0	13.9	-0.86
Theo Ratliff	8	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	16	-22	16.7	15.8	0.96	13.1	13.7	-0.53
Royal Ivey	21	20	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	20	-30	16.2	15.8	0.41	12.0	14.1	-2.00

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	33	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-17	24	13.2	13.8	-0.60	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Nate Robinson	50	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-14	18	13.5	13.8	-0.28	16.8	15.0	1.80
Al Harrington	71	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-5	0	13.4	14.3	-0.93	16.4	14.4	2.01
Quentin Richardson	74	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	13.6	13.6	-0.00	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Jared Jeffries	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	13.6	13.6	-0.01	15.4	16.3	-0.97
David Lee	75	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	0	-10	14.0	12.4	1.54	16.0	15.1	0.91
Chris Duhon	53	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	3	-16	13.4	13.9	-0.49	15.0	17.0	-1.92
Wilson Chandler	75	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.14	-18	8	-26	13.9	12.5	1.42	15.6	16.9	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.19,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, BKN 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.24,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0	94.2%
POR 96, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	92.2%
SAS 97, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.2%