inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement4.9 [861] MVPMatt Bonner (SAS): +16.4%
San Antonio Spurs 107 Comeback1.9 [1094] LVPAnthony Tolliver (SAS): -7.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.001267%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Chris Bosh0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.011449%0.0700.00771%-0.01
Jason Kapono0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.03960%0.0300.002100%0.01
Will Solomon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.09-0.000.072060%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jake Voskuhl0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Parker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.01567%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Roko Leni Ukic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02150%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Joey Graham-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.011027%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Jamario Moon-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.01520%-0.0600.0000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.040.01887%0.1600.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.01-0.011173%0.1400.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.03-0.011070%0.1400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.02-0.05872%0.124-0.042100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.031960%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.010.031454%0.074-0.11743%-0.04
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.0250%-0.0700.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.627.216.423.22.623.5119.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +57.1%
TOR -11.2%
SAS +13.4%
TOR -10.9%
SAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORSASNBATORSASNBA
this game16.315.915.5109.0118.9106.4
season15.116.4105.0106.6
opponent15.715.6103.2108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.717.618.414.616.3
SAS15.916.714.416.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamario Moon37370.11-0.610.72-0.097-172416.016.4-0.4016.215.80.41
Jason Kapono5149-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-121415.317.5-2.1715.816.0-0.19
Roko Leni Ukic99-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-8618.216.02.1817.815.72.06
Andrea Bargnani3233-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-101017.515.61.9414.616.7-2.03
Will Solomon1313-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-7417.316.11.2314.316.2-1.89
Chris Bosh6767-0.24-0.260.03-0.21-1-9815.817.6-1.7715.716.7-0.98
Jake Voskuhl1010-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-100-1018.216.02.1919.315.53.80
Jose Calderon6768-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.21-5-5015.817.7-1.8916.015.70.26
Jermaine O'Neal6970-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-9-1-815.817.7-1.9216.314.61.64
Joey Graham4849-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.15-100-1016.516.00.5715.916.0-0.10
Anthony Parker4245-0.650.15-0.81-0.10-199-2817.315.31.9515.916.0-0.11

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley61590.470.030.440.2191815.916.0-0.0617.214.42.80
Matt Bonner55550.440.060.370.1111-11215.017.3-2.2816.715.61.04
Roger Mason Jr.55550.430.070.360.0812-21417.014.32.6815.916.8-0.82
Tony Parker74720.400.100.310.2073416.115.20.8916.216.4-0.19
Kurt Thomas46450.400.100.300.0811-11216.815.01.8916.416.10.24
Manu Ginobili49490.210.29-0.080.0946-214.517.6-3.1416.216.3-0.03
Tim Duncan64640.180.32-0.140.18010-1015.915.9-0.0015.917.2-1.25
George Hill16170.100.40-0.310.0137-415.216.1-0.8916.416.20.19
Ime Udoka880.010.49-0.49-0.0528-614.916.0-1.1514.216.5-2.21
Anthony Tolliver1514-0.020.52-0.540.04-212-1416.315.80.4915.916.3-0.39
Bruce Bowen77-0.120.62-0.740.09-717-2419.115.73.4913.116.5-3.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.81,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 95, BOS 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%
CHI 96, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,195.0%
DAL 81, PHI 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,194.9%