NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	8.6 [164]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +25.6%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	3.2 [379]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -13.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.26	-0.01	0.25	-0.01	9	64%	0.38	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Morris Almond	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	0.00	9	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.01	9	57%	0.21	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.10
Ronnie Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	10	37%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.08	0.02	12	65%	0.21	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.02	16	52%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.04
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	32%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	2	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.8	26.2	15.4	29.1	2.4	34.4	137.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +87.8%

SAC -11.5%

SAC -1.8%

SAC -25.1%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.7	15.5	98.0	94.0	106.4
season	15.3	15.0		107.7	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		112.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.4	14.3	15.8	15.4	15.0
SAC	11.7	17.0	13.0	13.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Almond	54	52	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.34	14	-9	23	14.1	16.0	-1.85	14.7	12.5	2.19
Kyle Korver	60	59	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	14.2	16.1	-1.98	14.3	12.8	1.48
Kosta Koufos	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-9	23	14.6	15.2	-0.59	15.0	12.7	2.32
Ronnie Price	37	37	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-12	29	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.6	12.6	3.04
Paul Millsap	72	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	5	-5	15.8	12.8	3.05	14.2	12.3	1.84
Mehmet Okur	78	76	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	11	-17	14.5	16.6	-2.12	12.5	17.4	-4.92
Deron Williams	64	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	17	-29	15.0	14.8	0.21	12.6	15.6	-3.04
CJ Miles	41	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	13	-21	16.1	14.2	1.98	12.8	14.3	-1.48
Ronnie Brewer	55	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	12	-19	15.6	14.2	1.42	12.6	15.0	-2.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	72	74	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.39	17	-22	39	13.0	15.5	-2.53	15.2	14.3	0.97
Francisco Garcia	65	66	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-11	17	13.6	13.8	-0.18	14.9	15.1	-0.13
Bobby Jackson	58	58	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-11	17	13.5	13.9	-0.39	15.8	13.8	2.01
Donte Greene	6	6	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	4	-13	18.8	13.4	5.48	12.7	15.1	-2.45
Beno Udrih	74	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-13	21	13.9	13.2	0.71	15.6	13.4	2.23
Brad Miller	79	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-9	13	14.0	12.5	1.46	15.1	14.4	0.75
Bobby Brown	17	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	9	-23	15.2	13.4	1.80	15.1	14.9	0.17
Quincy Douby	10	10	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-3	1	9.8	14.1	-4.31	12.9	15.2	-2.30
Jason Thompson	24	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	7	-19	13.3	13.8	-0.51	14.6	15.1	-0.44
Mikki Moore	25	25	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	14	-33	15.1	13.2	1.92	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Kevin Martin	70	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	5	-15	13.4	14.3	-0.84	14.1	17.0	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 83, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.58,0	91.3%
OKC 97, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.16,0	90.6%
POR 91, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.01,0	90.4%