inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 130 Excitement13.6 [7] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +62.2%
Golden State Warriors 129 Comeback39.2 [25] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -31.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0.620,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.620.130.510.021178%0.651-0.035100%0.04
Daequan Cook0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.060.19-0.00869%0.291-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Marion0.190,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.110.001662%0.251-0.062100%0.01
Chris Quinn0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.150.030.120.00662%0.301-0.141100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.00867%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Marcus Banks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00312%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Yakhouba Diawara-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.090.01-0.10-0.001553%0.062-0.15683%-0.02
Dwyane Wade-0.320,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.3,-0.32-0.03-0.280.002854%-0.027-0.301392%0.08

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Maggette0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.290.290.120.17-0.011560%0.311-0.011894%0.10
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.4,0.20.200.26-0.040.022267%0.231-0.031687%0.08
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.190.190.090.100.001071%0.422-0.23475%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.030.140.00557%0.1700.004100%0.08
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00460%0.0400.002100%0.01
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.011354%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01-0.00460%0.051-0.042100%0.02
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.15-0.130.011131%-0.184-0.114100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.32.433.615.529.32.535.61.820.8165.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +72.4%
GSW -34.6%
MIA +50.1%
GSW -32.5%
GSW -5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAGSWNBAMIAGSWNBA
this game16.214.215.5125.0122.9106.4
season16.013.8105.9107.3
opponent15.015.7111.2105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA17.614.316.818.912.016.2
GSW13.715.113.216.212.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daequan Cook64650.72-0.220.950.527-61315.517.4-1.9614.413.90.52
Chris Quinn39410.66-0.160.830.3411-102114.617.2-2.6113.614.6-0.96
Dwyane Wade89900.65-0.150.800.476-51115.619.8-4.1813.319.9-6.67
Michael Beasley49500.61-0.110.720.70-34-714.917.4-2.4214.014.5-0.49
Udonis Haslem84850.60-0.100.710.465-4916.017.3-1.4013.517.2-3.68
Marcus Banks88-0.090.59-0.690.02-45-916.716.20.5723.013.59.51
Shawn Marion8080-0.100.60-0.70-0.307-61316.814.42.4014.413.70.66
Yakhouba Diawara1919-0.110.61-0.730.27-1314-2717.915.82.0515.813.91.98
Joel Anthony4343-0.200.70-0.910.00-78-1518.514.63.8715.713.22.58
Mario Chalmers4544-0.240.74-0.98-0.12-45-917.815.02.8614.014.4-0.38

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronny Turiaf40390.23-0.730.95-0.049-101913.514.6-1.1214.417.3-2.90
Anthony Randolph12130.07-0.570.63-0.023-4718.413.74.7416.716.20.54
Stephen Jackson8484-0.08-0.420.330.01-32-514.812.02.7117.013.13.80
Brandan Wright6362-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-43-713.814.8-0.9816.116.3-0.19
Corey Maggette9493-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.26-10-113.917.4-3.5116.117.0-0.87
Jamal Crawford9897-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.441-2314.412.32.0716.710.16.52
Andris Biedrins6767-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.28-65-1114.314.20.1016.914.91.98
CJ Watson5453-0.840.34-1.18-0.75-32-514.314.10.1615.816.7-0.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 115, ATL 1120.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.33,0.4,0.69,0.81,0.68,0.74,0.5,0.33,0.45,0.68,0.85,090.1%
LAL 103, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,089.5%
TOR 100, IND 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.76,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,089.4%