NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	107		Excitement	3.5 [1108]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +27.2%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.0 [420]		LVP	Matt Barnes (PHX): -9.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.28	0.02	0.02	24	72%	0.30	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.03
Mario Chalmers	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	7	93%	0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	37%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	11%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Sean Singletary	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	20	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	10	64%	0.00	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	9	32%	-0.01	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	30.2	18.6	28.1	3.4	30.3	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +19.8%

MIA +14.1%

PHX -6.9%

MIA +20.7%

MIA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.5	115.1	100.0	106.4
season	16.0	14.1		105.9	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.8	15.7	17.9	18.2	16.5
PHX	14.0	13.7	16.4	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	-5	25	16.0	18.1	-2.12	14.9	13.7	1.23
Mario Chalmers	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	15.5	20.0	-4.58	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Dwyane Wade	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	2	11	15.8	20.0	-4.17	14.4	15.5	-1.14
Joel Anthony	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	0	15	17.4	15.6	1.78	15.0	14.0	1.00
Shawn Marion	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	5	5	15.7	19.8	-4.07	14.1	16.6	-2.52
Michael Beasley	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	9	-3	18.7	15.8	2.97	15.9	14.1	1.72
Daequan Cook	54	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	17	-19	16.8	16.2	0.68	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Yakhouba Diawara	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	17	-19	19.9	15.7	4.27	15.0	14.5	0.53
Chris Quinn	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	17	-19	20.0	15.5	4.58	15.5	14.3	1.21
Jamaal Magloire	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	13.7	16.7	-3.08	12.8	14.7	-1.86

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-17	19	15.2	14.5	0.70	18.2	16.3	1.85
Boris Diaw	50	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-20	25	14.1	15.1	-1.04	17.6	15.3	2.35
Lou Amundson	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-14	13	13.6	14.7	-1.12	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Grant Hill	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-11	7	15.6	13.6	2.05	17.3	15.9	1.41
Sean Singletary	21	19	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	-2	-11	15.1	14.4	0.73	18.8	16.0	2.88
Leandro Barbosa	71	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-13	11	14.4	15.1	-0.73	16.0	18.8	-2.88
Matt Barnes	59	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	1	-17	14.2	15.2	-1.04	16.9	16.0	0.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	1	-17	14.8	14.0	0.76	15.6	18.8	-3.19
Raja Bell	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	14.1	16.0	-1.87	15.5	19.8	-4.22
Shaquille O'Neal	56	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	3	-21	15.0	14.0	0.99	16.8	16.1	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, BOS 67	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 128, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAS 108, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%