NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	7.9 [247]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +45.8%
New York Knicks	122		Comeback	2.0 [650]		LVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): -16.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.09	0.04	13	81%	0.30	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Nick Young	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	10	68%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	18	53%	0.12	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.06
Dee Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	14	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.17	0.27	-0.01	14	87%	0.55	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.24	0.10	0.02	20	74%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	16	57%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.00	16	59%	0.24	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.4	17.6	25.5	2.0	28.2	128.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +67.7%

WAS -6.0%

NYK +7.4%

WAS -15.2%

WAS -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	13.7	15.5	115.8	122.0	106.4
season	15.9	13.8		103.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.1	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	11.8	16.4	16.8	15.0
NYK	13.3	14.4	12.0	15.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	42	42	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-18	31	13.3	16.2	-2.96	14.3	13.2	1.08
DeShawn Stevenson	80	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-6	7	14.6	16.5	-1.88	14.0	12.3	1.74
Andray Blatche	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-3	1	15.0	15.0	0.01	12.7	13.9	-1.20
Etan Thomas	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	2	-9	14.4	15.2	-0.84	14.4	13.4	1.04
JaVale McGee	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-3	1	14.1	15.2	-1.09	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Darius Songaila	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-11	17	15.7	14.2	1.53	13.5	13.8	-0.35
Dee Brown	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	5	-15	14.6	15.3	-0.70	14.2	13.2	0.95
Nick Young	39	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-8	11	15.7	14.5	1.14	13.1	14.0	-0.85
Caron Butler	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	5	-15	15.7	13.7	1.91	13.5	14.0	-0.57
Juan Dixon	27	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	15.3	14.9	0.42	12.3	14.2	-1.82
Antawn Jamison	87	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.4	12.4	2.97	13.8	13.1	0.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	86	85	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.28	15	-10	25	13.6	14.0	-0.40	14.9	15.4	-0.46
Wilson Chandler	93	95	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-8	21	13.3	18.1	-4.82	15.4	8.5	6.90
Nate Robinson	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	13.7	13.3	0.37	14.7	16.9	-2.17
Chris Duhon	95	97	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-3	11	13.4	18.2	-4.78	15.2	10.2	4.94
Quentin Richardson	89	91	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	13.7	13.6	0.03	15.3	12.4	2.87
Anthony Roberson	30	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	17	-29	14.6	13.3	1.30	13.7	15.5	-1.84
Malik Rose	19	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	18	-31	15.1	13.3	1.78	14.3	15.1	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 66, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.85,0.96,1,1	91.8%
MIA 83, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.91,1	91.7%
CHI 86, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.96,1	91.7%