NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	9.6 [84]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +46.5%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	10.6 [166]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -39.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.46	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46	0.22	0.25	0.01	21	70%	0.50	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.01	16	56%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	13	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	5	40%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	7	14%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.00	12	35%	-0.20	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.40	-0.00	14	62%	0.51	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.13	-0.00	6	42%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.01	22	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	11	33%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	4	29%	-0.17	4	-0.13	6	33%	-0.18
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.38,-0.43,-0.36,-0.44,-0.56,-0.39	-0.39	-0.18	-0.19	0.02	22	40%	-0.07	7	-0.32	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	26.8	15.7	26.4	2.5	35.4	133.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.0%

ATL +0.8%

ATL +27.1%

WAS -8.3%

ATL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.5	97.8	101.1	106.4
season	15.9	15.8		103.5	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		106.0	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	14.4	16.2	17.3	15.7
ATL	15.0	16.2	17.2	17.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	29	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-8	12	14.8	16.1	-1.34	17.8	15.9	1.93
JaVale McGee	43	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-4	4	15.6	15.7	-0.07	15.9	17.1	-1.16
Dee Brown	35	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.4	0.70	17.4	15.9	1.56
Oleksiy Pecherov	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	15.0	15.7	-0.74	12.3	17.0	-4.64
Darius Songaila	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	1	-6	17.2	15.4	1.73	17.9	16.3	1.59
Antawn Jamison	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-6	8	15.6	16.0	-0.38	17.1	14.7	2.42
Nick Young	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	15.2	16.2	-0.99	16.5	16.5	0.06
Andray Blatche	32	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	16.2	15.4	0.87	15.5	17.1	-1.63
Juan Dixon	26	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	16.0	15.5	0.48	17.0	16.3	0.71
DeShawn Stevenson	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.12	15.5	19.1	-3.61
Caron Butler	75	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	15.7	15.3	0.45	16.8	15.2	1.53

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	62	61	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.54	14	-10	24	16.2	17.2	-1.02	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Mike Bibby	76	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-4	12	16.7	15.7	0.94	15.9	13.8	2.11
Joe Johnson	77	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	16.6	16.1	0.51	16.1	13.2	2.85
Marvin Williams	84	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.7	14.2	2.51	15.5	17.7	-2.15
Zaza Pachulia	62	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	3	-2	17.5	14.2	3.33	15.7	15.7	0.01
Othello Hunter	1	1	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	1	2	3.0	16.7	-13.66	0.0	15.8	-15.84
Solomon Jones	32	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	6	-8	15.0	17.3	-2.34	16.8	15.1	1.66
Acie Law	18	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	7	-10	16.2	16.6	-0.43	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Ronald Murray	38	37	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.06	-13	17	-30	16.3	16.7	-0.34	14.8	16.2	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.23,0.38,0.54,0.23,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.23,0.16,1	91.7%
NOH 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.08,1	90.5%
UTA 89, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.15,1	89.9%