NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	81		Excitement	2.5 [1246]		MVP	Keith Bogans (ORL): +12.5%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	1.0 [1245]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -5.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	10	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	12	71%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.03	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	10	27%	-0.05	3	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.23	0.00	0.17	13	77%	0.08	2	-0.02	14	64%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.14	12	42%	0.06	4	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	13	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	11	21%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.2	15.6	27.5	2.4	27.9	132.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.0%

ORL +0.7%

WAS -0.4%

ORL +8.4%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.2	15.5	89.0	115.2	106.4
season	15.9	15.3		103.5	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.4	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	21.6	16.1	16.9	15.2	17.3
ORL	15.2	12.8	13.8	15.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-26	27	15.4	18.3	-2.98	14.5	14.1	0.37
Darius Songaila	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-21	17	13.9	17.9	-3.94	11.5	14.8	-3.22
Dee Brown	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-23	21	14.7	19.5	-4.82	13.6	14.8	-1.21
JaVale McGee	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-28	31	15.0	18.7	-3.63	14.2	14.2	0.00
Etan Thomas	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.30	-16	-9	-7	21.0	15.5	5.43	15.0	13.9	1.06
DeShawn Stevenson	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-11	-3	19.6	15.5	4.03	15.1	13.6	1.56
Andray Blatche	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-16	7	16.1	18.7	-2.65	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Dominic McGuire	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.23	-16	-9	-7	15.1	18.1	-3.06	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Antawn Jamison	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-10	-5	19.3	15.5	3.82	14.5	13.9	0.61
Caron Butler	42	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-6	-13	19.9	15.0	4.86	14.8	13.7	1.11
Nick Young	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	-15	5	15.5	20.8	-5.28	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Juan Dixon	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.34	-24	-1	-23	20.4	14.8	5.60	14.5	14.0	0.57

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	62	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.31	30	-5	35	14.5	13.7	0.78	18.0	15.7	2.33
Keith Bogans	37	34	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	9	7	13.2	14.9	-1.78	16.7	17.6	-0.84
Mickael Pietrus	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.28	23	2	21	13.5	15.6	-2.04	18.4	15.1	3.34
Jameer Nelson	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.28	22	3	19	14.3	14.1	0.25	19.6	14.6	5.04
Dwight Howard	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.35	21	4	17	14.1	14.5	-0.33	18.2	14.8	3.45
Tony Battie	40	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	29	-33	13.6	14.7	-1.11	15.1	18.8	-3.71
Anthony Johnson	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	23	-21	14.0	14.4	-0.38	14.6	19.0	-4.34
Hedo Turkoglu	65	67	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	15	-5	15.0	12.3	2.68	17.4	16.9	0.53
Courtney Lee	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	23	-21	15.6	13.7	1.93	15.3	18.0	-2.74
Brian Cook	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	14.7	14.2	0.47	14.4	17.5	-3.07
JJ Redick	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	14.7	14.2	0.47	14.4	17.5	-3.07
Marcin Gortat	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	15.6	14.1	1.45	14.0	17.5	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 82, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NOK 69, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIA 74, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%